Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Picks - Feb. 11

The Memphis Grizzlies (20-32) will be looking to end a three-game losing streak when hitting the road against the Denver Nuggets (34-20) on February 11, 2026 at Ball Arena. The Nuggets are currently double-digit 14.5-point favorites against the Grizzlies. The over/under for the matchup is set at 239.5.

Here's everything you need to know to know about the Nuggets-Grizzlies game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Wednesday, February 11, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
• Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
• TV: ALT and FDSSE
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Prediction

ATS Pick: Grizzlies (+ 14.5)
O/U Pick: Under (239.5)
Score Prediction: Nuggets 122 - Grizzlies 113

Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Betting Insights

• Of 54 games so far this season, the Nuggets have had 27 with more than 239.5 points scored, their current matchup's point total.
• This year, 18 of the Grizzlies' 52 games have had a combined total of more than 239.5 points scored.
• These two teams average a combined 235.6 points per game, 3.9 fewer points than the over/under of 239.5 set for this game.
• Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 233.8 points per game, 5.7 fewer than the point total for this matchup.
• Denver has won 25, or 71.4%, of the 35 contests in which it was the favorite this year.
• Memphis has been chosen as underdogs in 35 games this year and has walked away with the win nine times (25.7%) in those games.
• Denver holds a 1-0 record in the last one head-to-head games against Memphis.
• The Nuggets also hold a 1-0 advantage against the spread when taking on the Grizzlies.

Nuggets Recent Trends

• The Nuggets are 6-4 against the spread and 5-5 overall in their past 10 games.
• Denver has averaged a total of 224.4 combined points over its last 10 games, 15.1 less than this game's over/under of 239.5.
• In the Nuggets' 54 games this year, they have 31 wins against the spread.
• The Nuggets have eclipsed the over/under in 65.4% of their opportunities this year (34 times over 52 games with a set point total).
• The 120.3 points per game the Nuggets score are only 2.9 more points than the Grizzlies give up (117.4).
• When Denver totals more than 117.4 points, it is 22-13 against the spread and 25-10 overall.
• The Nuggets are shooting 49.4% from the field this season, 2.6 percentage points higher than the 46.8% the Grizzlies allow to opponents.
• When playing at home, the Nuggets own a worse record against the spread (12-13-0) compared to their ATS record on the road (19-10-0).
• Denver has eclipsed the total in a lower percentage of games at home (60%) than games on the road (65.5%).
• The Nuggets have won a lower percentage of their matchups as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 11-5 (.688). When playing away from home as a moneyline favorite, they sport a record of 14-5 (.737).

Nuggets Recent Stats

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic posts 28.8 points, 12.2 rebounds and 10.7 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.4 steals and 0.8 blocks.
• Jamal Murray posts 25.8 points, 4.3 boards and 7.6 assists per game, shooting 48.6% from the field and 42.8% from beyond the arc with 3.2 made 3-pointers per contest (10th in league).
• Tim Hardaway Jr. posts 14 points, 2.6 rebounds and 1.3 assists per contest, shooting 44.7% from the field and 40.4% from beyond the arc with 2.8 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Bruce Brown averages 7.5 points, 4 boards and 2.1 assists per contest, shooting 45.9% from the floor.
• Jonas Valanciunas averages 9.1 points, 1.3 assists and 5.2 boards.

Nuggets Player Props

Grizzlies Recent Trends

• The Grizzlies have a 5-5 record against the spread while going 2-8 overall in their last 10 games.
• Memphis' average total over the last 10 games is 9.1 points fewer than the 239.5 total listed for this matchup.
• The Grizzlies have 23 wins against the spread in 52 games this year.
• This season, Memphis is winless against the spread when entering a game as an underdog of 14.5 points or more.
• Grizzlies games this year have gone over the total in 25 of 52 opportunities (48.1%).
• The Grizzlies' 115.3 points per game are just 1.1 fewer points than the 116.4 the Nuggets give up to opponents.
• Memphis has put together a 12-9 ATS record and a 12-9 overall record in games it scores more than 116.4 points.
• The Grizzlies' 45.8% shooting percentage from the field this season is the same as the Nuggets have allowed to their opponents.
• The Grizzlies' winning percentage against the spread at home is .423 (11-15-0). Away, it is .462 (12-13-1).
• In 2025-26, a higher percentage of Memphis' games have finished above the over/under at home (53.8%, 14 of 26) compared to on the road (42.3%, 11 of 26).
• The Grizzlies, as moneyline favorites, have won a lower percentage of games at home (7-5) than on the road (4-1) this year.

Grizzlies Recent Stats

Grizzlies Leaders

• Cedric Coward puts up 13.3 points, 6.2 rebounds and 2.9 assists per game for the Grizzlies.
• Cam Spencer is averaging 11.8 points, 2.7 rebounds and 5.6 assists per game. He's draining 48.4% of his shots from the floor and 45.3% from 3-point range (fifth in NBA), with 2.2 treys per contest.
• Jaylen Wells is putting up 12 points, 3.5 rebounds and 1.7 assists per contest. He is sinking 40.9% of his shots from the floor and 33.5% from beyond the arc, with 1.7 treys per game.
• Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is averaging 8.5 points, 2.4 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game. He is draining 41.3% of his shots from the field and 32% from beyond the arc, with 1.1 treys per game.
• Walter Clayton Jr. gets the Grizzlies 6.9 points, 2 rebounds and 3.3 assists per game while delivering 0.6 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.

Grizzlies Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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National Basketball Association

Denver Nuggets

Memphis Grizzlies