Mavericks vs. Kings Prediction, Odds, Picks - Feb. 26

The Dallas Mavericks (21-36) aim to halt a five-game home losing streak when hosting the Sacramento Kings (13-47) on February 26, 2026. The Mavericks play the Kings in a game that Dallas is currently a healthy favorite by 7.5 points. The over/under for the matchup is set at 233.5.

Here's everything you need to know about the Mavericks-Kings game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Mavericks vs. Kings Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Thursday, February 26, 2026 at 8:30 p.m. ET
• Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
• TV: KFAA, NBCS-CA, and WFAA
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Mavericks vs. Kings Prediction

ATS Pick: Mavericks (- 7.5)
O/U Pick: Under (233.5)
Score Prediction: Mavericks 120 - Kings 111

Mavericks vs. Kings Betting Insights

• This year, the Mavericks games have finished over 233.5 points scored, their current matchup's over/under, 20 (out of 57) times.
• The Kings have played in 25 games this year (41.7% of opportunities) in which the teams combined to score more than 233.5 points.
• The Mavericks and the Kings combine to average 9.0 fewer points per game than the over/under of 233.5 set for this game.
• The Mavericks and the Kings have seen their opponents average a combined 5.2 more points per game than the point total of 233.5 set in this game.
• Dallas has been the favorite in 18 games this season and has come away with the win nine times (50%) in those contests.
• Sacramento has been victorious in 10, or 18.5%, of the 54 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
• Dallas and Sacramento have split the last two games they've played.
• The Kings have a 2-0 record against the spread when taking on the Mavericks.
• Against the spread, the Mavericks have covered in three straight games, and were the favorites in one of those games.

Mavericks Recent Trends

• The Mavericks have a 5-5 record against the spread while finishing 2-8 overall over their last 10 games.
• Dallas' average total over the last 10 games is 3.5 points fewer than the 233.5 total given for this matchup.
• The Mavericks have 25 wins against the spread in 57 games this season.
• Dallas has yet to cover the spread this season when favored by 7.5 points or more in three chances.
• Mavericks games this year have hit the over on 28 of 60 set point totals.
• The 114.4 points per game the Mavericks average are 6.7 fewer points than the Kings allow (121.1).
• Dallas has a 10-5 record against the spread and a 10-5 record overall when scoring more than 121.1 points.
• The Mavericks are shooting 47.3% from the field this season, 2.3 percentage points lower than the 49.6% the Kings allow to opponents.
• The Mavericks have done a better job covering the spread when playing at home (15-14-1) than they have in road games (10-17-0).
• In terms of over/unders, Dallas hits the over more consistently in home games, as it has gone over the total 15 times in 30 opportunities this season (50%). In away games, it has hit the over 13 times in 27 opportunities (48.1%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Mavericks have won six of 11 games at home, good for a .545 winning percentage. They have won three of seven games on the road (.429) as a moneyline favorite.

Mavericks Recent Stats

Mavericks Leaders

• Naji Marshall puts up 15.2 points, 3.0 assists and 4.9 rebounds per game.
• Max Christie puts up 13.3 points, 3.4 boards and 2.3 assists per game, shooting 46.8% from the field and 42.3% from downtown with 2.4 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Brandon Williams puts up 12.8 points, 3.9 assists and 2.8 rebounds per contest.
• Marvin Bagley III puts up 10.6 points, 6.1 boards and 1.4 assists per contest, shooting 61.9% from the field.
• Klay Thompson puts up 11.6 points, 2.4 rebounds and 1.4 assists per contest, shooting 38.7% from the field and 37.8% from downtown with 2.9 made treys per game.

Mavericks Player Props

Kings Recent Trends

• The Kings have a 4-6 record against the spread while going 1-9 overall in their past 10 contests.
• Sacramento and its opponents have combined to score an average of 228.2 combined points in its last 10 games, 5.3 less than the 233.5 over/under in this matchup.
• The Kings are 22-36-2 against the spread this season.
• Sacramento has been underdogs by 7.5 points or more 34 times this year and are 15-18-1 ATS in those matchups.
• Kings games this season have gone over the total in 29 of 60 opportunities (48.3%).
• The Kings put up an average of 110.1 points per game, 7.5 fewer points than the 117.6 the Mavericks give up.
• When it scores more than 117.6 points, Sacramento is 13-3-1 against the spread and 8-9 overall.
• The Kings are shooting 46.1% from the field, 0.7% lower than the 46.8% the Mavericks' opponents have shot this season.
• Against the spread, the Kings have been better at home (11-17-1) than away (11-19-1).
• In 2025-26 a lower percentage of Sacramento's games have finished above the over/under at home (48.3%, 14 of 29) compared to on the road (48.4%, 15 of 31).
• The Kings, as moneyline favorites, have won a higher percentage of games at home (3-2) than away (0-1) this season.

Kings Recent Stats

Kings Leaders

• On a per-game basis, DeMar DeRozan gives the Kings 18.6 points, 3.1 rebounds and 3.9 assists. He also averages 1.2 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
• Russell Westbrook is averaging 15.3 points, 5.5 rebounds and 6.3 assists per contest. He's sinking 43.1% of his shots from the floor and 33.8% from beyond the arc, with 2.0 triples per contest.
• Maxime Raynaud is putting up 10.1 points, 7.0 rebounds and 1.2 assists per game. He is draining 55.0% of his shots from the floor.
• The Kings are receiving 7.7 points, 5.7 rebounds and 1.2 assists per game from Precious Achiuwa this season.
• Malik Monk is averaging 12.4 points, 2.0 rebounds and 2.6 assists per contest. He is making 43.7% of his shots from the field and 41.6% from beyond the arc, with 2.1 triples per contest.

Kings Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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National Basketball Association

Dallas Mavericks

Sacramento Kings