Mavericks vs. Kings Prediction, Odds, Picks - Feb. 26

The Dallas Mavericks (21-36) hope to halt a five-game home losing streak when hosting the Sacramento Kings (13-47) on February 26, 2026. Thursday's matchup between the Mavericks and the Kings sees the Mavericks as a strong, 7.5-point favorite. The game has a point total of 234.

Take a look at everything you need to know to know about the Mavericks-Kings game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Mavericks vs. Kings Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Thursday, February 26, 2026 at 8:30 p.m. ET
• Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
• TV: KFAA, NBCS-CA, and WFAA
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Mavericks vs. Kings Prediction

ATS Pick: Mavericks (- 7.5)
O/U Pick: Under (234)
Score Prediction: Mavericks 120 - Kings 111

Mavericks vs. Kings Betting Insights

• Mavericks games have gone over 234 points scored, their current matchup's over/under, 20 times (out of 57) this season.
• This season, 25 of the Kings' 60 games have had a combined total higher than 234 points scored.
• The two teams average a combined 9.5 fewer points per game, 224.5, than this matchup's total of 234 points.
• The Mavericks and the Kings have seen their opponents average a combined 4.7 more points per game than the over/under of 234 set for this outing.
• Dallas has won nine, or 50%, of the 18 contests in which it was the favorite this year.
• Sacramento has been victorious in 10, or 18.5%, of the 54 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
• After the last two head-to-head matchups, Dallas and Sacramento have a tied 1-1 record.
• The Kings have an advantage against the spread (2-0) when squaring off against the Mavericks.
• Against the point spread, the Mavericks have covered in three straight games, and were favored in one of those contests.

Mavericks Recent Trends

• The Mavericks have a 5-5 record against the spread while going 2-8 overall in their past 10 games.
• Dallas' average total over the last 10 games is four points fewer than the 234 over/under listed for this matchup.
• Against the spread, the Mavericks are 25-31-1 this year.
• Dallas has been favored by 7.5 points or more three times this season and have not covered the spread in any of them.
• Mavericks games this year have gone over the point total 28 times in 60 opportunities (46.7%).
• The Mavericks score 6.7 fewer points per game (114.4) than the Kings give up (121.1).
• Dallas is 10-5 against the spread and 10-5 overall when scoring more than 121.1 points.
• The Mavericks make 47.3% of their shots from the field this season, which is 2.3 percentage points lower than the Kings have allowed to their opponents (49.6%).
• The Mavericks have a better record against the spread when playing at home (15-14-1) than they do on the road (10-17-0).
• Dallas has gone over the total in 15 of 30 home games (50%), compared to 13 of 27 road games (48.1%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Mavericks have taken six of 11 games at home, good for a .545 winning percentage. They have won three of seven games away from home (.429) as a moneyline favorite.

Mavericks Recent Stats

Mavericks Leaders

• Naji Marshall puts up 15.2 points, 4.9 rebounds and 3 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.1 blocks.
• Max Christie posts 13.3 points, 3.4 boards and 2.3 assists per game, shooting 46.8% from the field and 42.3% from downtown with 2.4 made 3-pointers per game.
• Brandon Williams posts 12.8 points, 2.8 rebounds and 3.9 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1 steal and 0.2 blocks.
• Marvin Bagley III puts up 10.6 points, 6.1 rebounds and 1.4 assists per contest, shooting 61.9% from the field.
• Klay Thompson averages 11.6 points, 1.4 assists and 2.4 boards.

Mavericks Player Props

Kings Recent Trends

• The Kings have gone 1-9 in their last 10 contests, with a 4-6 record against the spread in that span.
• Sacramento has averaged a total of 228.2 combined points over its last 10 games, 5.8 less than this game's total of 234.
• Against the spread, the Kings are 22-36-2 this season.
• So far this year, Sacramento has been installed as underdogs by a 7.5-point margin or more 34 times and are 15-18-1 ATS in those contests.
• Kings games this season have gone over the point total 29 times in 60 opportunities (48.3%).
• The Kings' 110.1 points per game are 7.5 fewer points than the 117.6 the Mavericks allow to opponents.
• When it scores more than 117.6 points, Sacramento is 13-3-1 against the spread and 8-9 overall.
• The Kings have shot at a 46.1% clip from the field this season, 0.7 percentage points below the 46.8% shooting opponents of the Mavericks have averaged.
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Kings have a better winning percentage at home (.379, 11-17-1 record) than on the road (.355, 11-19-1).
• In terms of the over/under, Sacramento's games have gone over less frequently at home (14 of 29, 48.3%) than away (15 of 31, 48.4%).
• As moneyline favorites, the Kings have won a higher percentage of games at home (3-2) than on the road (0-1).

Kings Recent Stats

Kings Leaders

• On a per-game basis, DeMar DeRozan gets the Kings 18.6 points, 3.1 rebounds and 3.9 assists. He also averages 1.2 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
• On a per-game basis, Maxime Raynaud gives the Kings 10.1 points, 7 rebounds and 1.2 assists. He also averages 0.5 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.
• Precious Achiuwa gets the Kings 7.7 points, 5.7 rebounds and 1.2 assists per contest while averaging 0.9 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.
• Malik Monk gets the Kings 12.4 points, 2 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game while putting up 0.7 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.
• Nique Clifford is averaging 6.8 points, 3.2 rebounds and 1.7 assists per contest. He is making 40.1% of his shots from the floor.

Kings Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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National Basketball Association

Dallas Mavericks

Sacramento Kings