Knicks vs. Heat Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec. 21

The New York Knicks (19-8) take the court against the Miami Heat (15-13) on December 21, 2025 on FDSSUN and MSG. Sunday's matchup between the Knicks and the Heat sees the Knicks as a strong, 7.5-point favorite. The matchup's over/under is 235.5.

Here is everything you need to know about the Knicks-Heat game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Knicks vs. Heat Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Sunday, December 21, 2025 at 6 p.m. ET
• Where: Madison Square Garden in New York City, New York
• TV: FDSSUN and MSG
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Knicks vs. Heat Prediction

ATS Pick: Heat (+ 7.5)
O/U Pick: Under (235.5)
Score Prediction: Knicks 121 - Heat 114

Knicks vs. Heat Betting Insights

• Knicks games have gone over 235.5 points scored, their current matchup's total, nine times (out of 27) this year.
• This season, 15 of the Heat's 28 games have had a combined total higher than 235.5 points scored.
• The two teams average a combined 4.7 more points per game, 240.2, than this game's total of 235.5 points.
• The Knicks and the Heat have seen their opponents average a combined 5.8 fewer points per game than the over/under of 235.5 set in this matchup.
• New York has come away with 18 wins in the 24 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season.
• Miami has won in seven, or 46.7%, of the 15 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
• In the last three head-to-head meetings, Miami has a 2-1 record against New York.
• The Heat also have a 2-1 record against the spread when facing the Knicks.

Knicks Recent Trends

• The Knicks have a 7-3 record against the spread while going 8-2 overall over their past 10 contests.
• New York's average total over the last 10 games is 4.9 points fewer than the 235.5 total given for this matchup.
• The Knicks have 16 wins against the spread in 27 games this year.
• New York has an ATS record of 8-1-1 in its 10 games as a favorite of 7.5 points or more so far this season.
• Knicks games this year have hit the over on 14 of 28 set point totals.
• The Knicks record 120.2 points per game, just 2.9 more points than the 117.3 the Heat allow.
• When New York totals more than 117.3 points, it is 12-2 against the spread and 12-2 overall.
• This season, the Knicks have a 47.9% shooting percentage from the field, which is 3.1% higher than the 44.8% of shots the Heat's opponents have knocked down.
• When playing at home, the Knicks sport a better record against the spread (13-2-0) compared to their ATS record on the road (3-8-1).
• New York has gone over the over/under more consistently at home, hitting the over in eight of 15 home matchups (53.3%). In away games, it has hit the over in six of 12 games (50%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Knicks have taken 12 of 14 games when playing at home, good for a .857 winning percentage. They have won six of 10 games on the road (.600) as a moneyline favorite.

Knicks Recent Stats

Knicks Leaders

• Karl-Anthony Towns averages 22.4 points, 11.8 boards and 3.1 assists per game, shooting 47.4% from the field and 35.4% from beyond the arc with 1.8 made treys per game.
• Jalen Brunson posts 28.4 points, 3.4 rebounds and 6.5 assists per contest, shooting 47.7% from the field and 36.8% from beyond the arc with 2.7 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Mikal Bridges posts 16.8 points, 4.8 rebounds and 4.3 assists per contest, shooting 52.5% from the floor and 41.1% from downtown with 2.3 made treys per contest.
• Josh Hart posts 12.1 points, 7.8 boards and 5 assists per contest, shooting 50.4% from the field and 38% from beyond the arc with 1.5 made treys per contest.
• OG Anunoby averages 15.4 points, 1.9 assists and 5.3 rebounds.

Knicks Player Props

Heat Recent Trends

• The Heat have a 3-7 record against the spread while finishing 3-7 overall over their last 10 contests.
• Miami and its opponents have combined to score an average of 236.5 combined points in its last 10 games, one more than the 235.5 over/under in this matchup.
• The Heat are 15-12-1 against the spread this year.
• Miami has an against the spread record of 3-1 in its four games when underdogs by 7.5 points or more this year.
• Heat games this season have gone over the total in 14 of 28 opportunities (50%).
• The Heat put up 7.6 more points per game (120) than the Knicks give up to opponents (112.4).
• Miami has put together a 12-5 ATS record and an 11-6 overall record in games it scores more than 112.4 points.
• The Heat are shooting 47.3% from the field, 1.3% higher than the 46% the Knicks' opponents have shot this season.
• Against the spread, the Heat have been better at home (8-6-0) than away (7-6-1).
• Miami's games have gone above the over/under 42.9% of the time at home (six of 14), and 57.1% of the time on the road (eight of 14).
• This season the Heat are 7-4 at home as moneyline favorites (.636 winning percentage). Away they are 1-1 (.500).

Heat Recent Stats

Heat Leaders

• Kel'el Ware is averaging 11.9 points, 10.4 rebounds and 0.6 assists per contest. He's also sinking 54.9% of his shots from the floor and 45.6% from beyond the arc (sixth in league), with 1.1 triples per game.
• On a per-game basis, Jaime Jaquez Jr. gives the Heat 15.4 points, 5.8 rebounds and 4.8 assists. He also averages 0.7 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
• Bam Adebayo gives the Heat 18.5 points, 9.4 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game while averaging 1 steal and 1 block.
• Norman Powell gets the Heat 24.1 points, 3.8 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game while putting up 1.2 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
• Andrew Wiggins is averaging 16.3 points, 4.8 rebounds and 2.8 assists per contest. He is sinking 47.4% of his shots from the field and 38.1% from 3-point range, with 1.8 triples per game.

Heat Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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