Heat vs. Kings Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 20

The Miami Heat (22-21) will attempt to snap a four-game road losing skid at the Sacramento Kings (12-31) on January 20, 2026. Miami is a 4.5-point favorite against Sacramento when the Heat square off with the Kings on Tuesday. The over/under for the game is 238.5.

Here is everything you need to know to know about the Heat-Kings game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Heat vs. Kings Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Tuesday, January 20, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
• Where: Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, California
• TV: FDSSUN and NBCS-CA
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Heat vs. Kings Prediction

ATS Pick: Heat (- 4.5)
O/U Pick: Under (238.5)
Score Prediction: Heat 120 - Kings 114

Heat vs. Kings Betting Insights

• This year, the Heat games have gone over 238.5 points scored, their current matchup's total, 21 (out of 43) times.
• This year, 13 of the Kings' 43 total matchups have gone over 238.5 total points scored.
• These teams average a combined 229.9 points per game, 8.6 fewer points than the over/under of 238.5 set for this matchup.
• Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 238.8 points per game, 0.3 more than the over/under in this game.
• Miami has been victorious in 11, or 61.1%, of the 18 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season.
• Sacramento has come away with nine wins in the 39 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
• After the last one head-to-head meetings, Sacramento has a 1-0 record against Miami.
• The Kings also hold a 1-0 edge against the spread when matched up with the Heat.

Heat Recent Trends

• The Heat have a 5-5 record against the spread while going 4-6 overall over their last 10 contests.
• Miami and its opponents have combined to score an average of 236.6 points over its last 10 games, 1.9 less than the 238.5 over/under in this matchup.
• Against the spread, the Heat are 24-18-1 this season.
• Miami has been favored by 4.5 points or more 15 times this season and are 7-8 ATS in those contests.
• The Heat have hit the over in 51.2% of their opportunities this year (22 times over 43 games with a set point total).
• The Heat average only 1.2 fewer points per game (119.3) than the Kings give up (120.5).
• Miami has a 16-2 record against the spread and a 14-4 record overall when scoring more than 120.5 points.
• The Heat make 46.5% of their shots from the field this season, which is 2.7 percentage points lower than the Kings have allowed to their opponents (49.2%).
• The Heat have done a better job covering the spread at home (13-9-0) than they have in road affairs (11-9-1).
• Miami has eclipsed the total less often at home, hitting the over in 11 of 22 home matchups (50%). In away games, it has hit the over in 11 of 21 games (52.4%).
• The Heat have won a higher percentage of their matchups as a moneyline favorite at home, going 10-5 (.667). When playing on the road as a moneyline favorite, they have a record of 1-2 (.333).

Heat Recent Stats

Heat Leaders

• Norman Powell posts 23.7 points, 3.7 rebounds and 2.7 assists per contest, shooting 48.4% from the field and 41% from beyond the arc with 3 made treys per game.
• Bam Adebayo posts 17 points, 9.7 rebounds and 2.8 assists per contest, shooting 44.3% from the field and 34.5% from downtown with 1.5 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Kel'el Ware posts 11.6 points, 9.8 boards and 0.6 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.9 steals and 1.1 blocks.
• Andrew Wiggins averages 15.8 points, 4.9 rebounds and 2.8 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.2 steals and 1 block.
• Jaime Jaquez Jr. averages 15.7 points, 4.8 assists and 5.1 rebounds.

Heat Player Props

Kings Recent Trends

• The Kings have a 5-5 record against the spread while finishing 4-6 overall over their last 10 contests.
• Sacramento and its opponents have combined to score an average of 229.1 combined points in its last 10 games, 9.4 less than the 238.5 over/under in this matchup.
• The Kings have 16 wins against the spread in 43 games this season.
• Sacramento has been underdogs by 4.5 points or more 32 times this year and are 13-18-1 ATS in those contests.
• Kings games this year have gone over the total in 19 of 43 opportunities (44.2%).
• The Kings score an average of 110.6 points per game, 7.7 fewer points than the 118.3 the Heat give up.
• Sacramento has put together a 9-2-1 ATS record and a 7-5 overall record in games it scores more than 118.3 points.
• The Kings' 46.6% shooting percentage from the field this season is 0.4 percentage points higher than the Heat have given up to their opponents (46.2%).
• The Kings have performed better against the spread at home (9-13-1) than on the road (7-12-1) this year.
• In 2025-26 a lower percentage of Sacramento's games have finished above the over/under at home (39.1%, nine of 23) compared to away (50%, 10 of 20).

Kings Recent Stats

Kings Leaders

• Russell Westbrook is putting up 15.3 points, 6.3 rebounds and 7 assists per contest. He's also draining 43.5% of his shots from the field and 36.1% from beyond the arc, with 2 triples per game.
• The Kings are getting 19 points, 3.3 rebounds and 4 assists per game from DeMar DeRozan this year.
• Dennis Schroder gets the Kings 12.7 points, 3.2 rebounds and 5.6 assists per game while averaging 0.8 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
• The Kings are getting 19.8 points, 3 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game from Zach LaVine this year.
• Maxime Raynaud gives the Kings 10.1 points, 6.5 rebounds and 1.2 assists per contest while delivering 0.4 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.

Kings Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.