
Heat vs. Kings Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 20
The Miami Heat (22-21) will attempt to snap a four-game road losing streak at the Sacramento Kings (12-31) on January 20, 2026. The Heat are currently moderate 2.5-point favorites against the Kings. The matchup has an over/under of 237.5.
Take a look at everything you need to know about the Heat-Kings game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.
Heat vs. Kings Game Information, TV Channel & Odds
- When: Tuesday, January 20, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
- Where: Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, California
- TV: FDSSUN and NBCS-CA
- Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat | -2.5 | -114 | -106 | 237.5 | -110 | -110 | -144 | +122 |
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Heat vs. Kings Prediction
ATS Pick: Heat (- 2.5)
O/U Pick: Under (237.5)
Score Prediction: Heat 120 - Kings 114
Heat vs. Kings Betting Insights
- Heat games have finished over 237.5 points scored, their current matchup's point total, 22 times (out of 43) this season.
- A total of 14 Kings games this season (out of 43) have had more than 237.5 total points scored.
- These two teams average a combined 229.9 points per game, 7.6 fewer points than the total of 237.5 set for this matchup.
- Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 238.8 points per game, 1.3 more than the point total in this matchup.
- Miami has come away with 11 wins in the 18 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season.
- Sacramento has been victorious in nine, or 23.1%, of the 39 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
- Sacramento has come out on top in its one head-to-head meeting with Miami.
- The Kings also have a 1-0 advantage against the spread when matched up with the Heat.
Heat Recent Trends
- The Heat are 5-5 against the spread and 4-6 overall in their last 10 games.
- Miami has averaged a total of 236.6 combined points over its last 10 games, 0.9 less than this game's total of 237.5.
- The Heat are 24-18-1 against the spread this year.
- This season, Miami has an ATS record of 7-9 in its 16 games as a favorite of 2.5 points or more.
- The Heat have hit the over in 51.2% of their opportunities this year (22 times in 43 games with a set point total).
- The 119.3 points per game the Heat put up are only 1.2 fewer points than the Kings give up (120.5).
- When Miami scores more than 120.5 points, it is 16-2 against the spread and 14-4 overall.
- The Heat are shooting 46.5% from the field this season, 2.7 percentage points lower than the 49.2% the Kings allow to opponents.
- The Heat own a better record against the spread at home (13-9-0) than they do in road games (11-9-1).
- Miami has exceeded the over/under in a lower percentage of home games (50%) than games on the road (52.4%).
- The Heat have won a higher percentage of their games as a moneyline favorite at home, going 10-5 (.667). When playing on the road as a moneyline favorite, they have a record of 1-2 (.333).
Heat Recent Stats
| Stat | Average | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points Scored | 119.3 | 5 |
| Points Allowed | 118.3 | 23 |
| Rebounds | 45.7 | 6 |
| Assists | 28.5 | 8 |
| Steals | 9 | 6 |
| Blocks | 4.3 | 24 |
Heat Leaders
- Norman Powell posts 23.7 points, 2.7 assists and 3.7 rebounds per game.
- Bam Adebayo posts 17 points, 2.8 assists and 9.7 rebounds per game.
- Kel'el Ware puts up 11.6 points, 0.6 assists and 9.8 boards per contest.
- Andrew Wiggins averages 15.8 points, 2.8 assists and 4.9 boards.
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. averages 15.7 points, 4.8 assists and 5.1 boards.
Heat Player Props
| Points O/U | Points Over Odds | PPG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Norman Powell | 23.5 | -122 | 23.7 |
| Bam Adebayo | 18.5 | +100 | 17 |
| Andrew Wiggins | 16.5 | -110 | 15.8 |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 14.5 | -102 | 15.7 |
| Pelle Larsson | 11.5 | -110 | 9.3 |
Kings Recent Trends
- The Kings are 5-5 against the spread and 4-6 overall in their last 10 games.
- Sacramento and its opponents have combined to score an average of 229.1 combined points in its last 10 games, 8.4 less than the 237.5 over/under in this matchup.
- In the Kings' 43 games this year, they have 16 wins against the spread.
- This season, Sacramento has an ATS record of 14-22-2 in its 38 games as an underdog of 2.5 points or more.
- Kings games this season have eclipsed the over/under 44.2% of the time (19 out of 43 games with a set point total).
- The Kings put up an average of 110.6 points per game, 7.7 fewer points than the 118.3 the Heat allow.
- When it scores more than 118.3 points, Sacramento is 9-2-1 against the spread and 7-5 overall.
- The Kings are shooting 46.6% from the field, 0.4% higher than the 46.2% the Heat's opponents have shot this season.
- The Kings' winning percentage against the spread at home is .391 (9-13-1). Away, it is .350 (7-12-1).
- Sacramento's games have gone above the over/under 39.1% of the time at home (nine of 23), and 50% of the time on the road (10 of 20).
Kings Recent Stats
| Stat | Average | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points Scored | 110.6 | 28 |
| Points Allowed | 120.5 | 27 |
| Rebounds | 40.7 | 27 |
| Assists | 25.2 | 21 |
| Steals | 8.6 | 11 |
| Blocks | 4.4 | 21 |
Kings Leaders
- Russell Westbrook is averaging 15.3 points, 6.3 rebounds and 7 assists per contest. He's also draining 43.5% of his shots from the field and 36.1% from beyond the arc, with 2 triples per contest.
- On a per-game basis, DeMar DeRozan gives the Kings 19 points, 3.3 rebounds and 4 assists. He also averages 1.4 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
- Dennis Schroder gives the Kings 12.7 points, 3.2 rebounds and 5.6 assists per contest while putting up 0.8 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
- Zach LaVine gives the Kings 19.8 points, 3 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game while putting up 0.7 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
- The Kings are getting 10.1 points, 6.5 rebounds and 1.2 assists per game from Maxime Raynaud this year.
Kings Player Props
| Points O/U | Points Over Odds | PPG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zach LaVine | 20.5 | -104 | 19.8 |
| DeMar DeRozan | 19.5 | -118 | 19 |
| Russell Westbrook | 14.5 | -128 | 15.3 |
| Domantas Sabonis | 13.5 | -108 | 16.2 |
| Dennis Schroder | 11.5 | -110 | 12.7 |
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
