Heat vs. Kings Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 20

Heat vs. Kings Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 20

Published Jan. 20, 2026 9:23 a.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Miami Heat (22-21) will attempt to snap a four-game road losing streak at the Sacramento Kings (12-31) on January 20, 2026. The Heat are currently moderate 2.5-point favorites against the Kings. The matchup has an over/under of 237.5.

Take a look at everything you need to know about the Heat-Kings game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Heat vs. Kings Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

  • When: Tuesday, January 20, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
  • Where: Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, California
  • TV: FDSSUN and NBCS-CA
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Heat vs Kings Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Heat -2.5 -114 -106 237.5 -110 -110 -144 +122

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Heat vs. Kings Prediction

ATS Pick: Heat (- 2.5)
O/U Pick: Under (237.5)
Score Prediction: Heat 120 - Kings 114

Heat vs. Kings Betting Insights

  • Heat games have finished over 237.5 points scored, their current matchup's point total, 22 times (out of 43) this season.
  • A total of 14 Kings games this season (out of 43) have had more than 237.5 total points scored.
  • These two teams average a combined 229.9 points per game, 7.6 fewer points than the total of 237.5 set for this matchup.
  • Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 238.8 points per game, 1.3 more than the point total in this matchup.
  • Miami has come away with 11 wins in the 18 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season.
  • Sacramento has been victorious in nine, or 23.1%, of the 39 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
  • Sacramento has come out on top in its one head-to-head meeting with Miami.
  • The Kings also have a 1-0 advantage against the spread when matched up with the Heat.

Heat Recent Trends

  • The Heat are 5-5 against the spread and 4-6 overall in their last 10 games.
  • Miami has averaged a total of 236.6 combined points over its last 10 games, 0.9 less than this game's total of 237.5.
  • The Heat are 24-18-1 against the spread this year.
  • This season, Miami has an ATS record of 7-9 in its 16 games as a favorite of 2.5 points or more.
  • The Heat have hit the over in 51.2% of their opportunities this year (22 times in 43 games with a set point total).
  • The 119.3 points per game the Heat put up are only 1.2 fewer points than the Kings give up (120.5).
  • When Miami scores more than 120.5 points, it is 16-2 against the spread and 14-4 overall.
  • The Heat are shooting 46.5% from the field this season, 2.7 percentage points lower than the 49.2% the Kings allow to opponents.
  • The Heat own a better record against the spread at home (13-9-0) than they do in road games (11-9-1).
  • Miami has exceeded the over/under in a lower percentage of home games (50%) than games on the road (52.4%).
  • The Heat have won a higher percentage of their games as a moneyline favorite at home, going 10-5 (.667). When playing on the road as a moneyline favorite, they have a record of 1-2 (.333).

Heat Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 119.3 5
Points Allowed 118.3 23
Rebounds 45.7 6
Assists 28.5 8
Steals 9 6
Blocks 4.3 24

Heat Leaders

  • Norman Powell posts 23.7 points, 2.7 assists and 3.7 rebounds per game.
  • Bam Adebayo posts 17 points, 2.8 assists and 9.7 rebounds per game.
  • Kel'el Ware puts up 11.6 points, 0.6 assists and 9.8 boards per contest.
  • Andrew Wiggins averages 15.8 points, 2.8 assists and 4.9 boards.
  • Jaime Jaquez Jr. averages 15.7 points, 4.8 assists and 5.1 boards.

Heat Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Norman Powell 23.5 -122 23.7
Bam Adebayo 18.5 +100 17
Andrew Wiggins 16.5 -110 15.8
Jaime Jaquez Jr. 14.5 -102 15.7
Pelle Larsson 11.5 -110 9.3

Kings Recent Trends

  • The Kings are 5-5 against the spread and 4-6 overall in their last 10 games.
  • Sacramento and its opponents have combined to score an average of 229.1 combined points in its last 10 games, 8.4 less than the 237.5 over/under in this matchup.
  • In the Kings' 43 games this year, they have 16 wins against the spread.
  • This season, Sacramento has an ATS record of 14-22-2 in its 38 games as an underdog of 2.5 points or more.
  • Kings games this season have eclipsed the over/under 44.2% of the time (19 out of 43 games with a set point total).
  • The Kings put up an average of 110.6 points per game, 7.7 fewer points than the 118.3 the Heat allow.
  • When it scores more than 118.3 points, Sacramento is 9-2-1 against the spread and 7-5 overall.
  • The Kings are shooting 46.6% from the field, 0.4% higher than the 46.2% the Heat's opponents have shot this season.
  • The Kings' winning percentage against the spread at home is .391 (9-13-1). Away, it is .350 (7-12-1).
  • Sacramento's games have gone above the over/under 39.1% of the time at home (nine of 23), and 50% of the time on the road (10 of 20).

Kings Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 110.6 28
Points Allowed 120.5 27
Rebounds 40.7 27
Assists 25.2 21
Steals 8.6 11
Blocks 4.4 21

Kings Leaders

  • Russell Westbrook is averaging 15.3 points, 6.3 rebounds and 7 assists per contest. He's also draining 43.5% of his shots from the field and 36.1% from beyond the arc, with 2 triples per contest.
  • On a per-game basis, DeMar DeRozan gives the Kings 19 points, 3.3 rebounds and 4 assists. He also averages 1.4 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
  • Dennis Schroder gives the Kings 12.7 points, 3.2 rebounds and 5.6 assists per contest while putting up 0.8 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
  • Zach LaVine gives the Kings 19.8 points, 3 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game while putting up 0.7 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
  • The Kings are getting 10.1 points, 6.5 rebounds and 1.2 assists per game from Maxime Raynaud this year.

Kings Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Zach LaVine 20.5 -104 19.8
DeMar DeRozan 19.5 -118 19
Russell Westbrook 14.5 -128 15.3
Domantas Sabonis 13.5 -108 16.2
Dennis Schroder 11.5 -110 12.7

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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