Celtics vs. Warriors Prediction, Odds, Picks - Feb. 19

The Boston Celtics (35-19) go up against the Golden State Warriors (29-26) on February 19, 2026. The matchup airs on Amazon Prime Video, NBCS-BA, and NBCS-BOS. Thursday's matchup between the Celtics and the Warriors features the Celtics as 6-point favorites. The game has a point total of 211.5.

Take a look at everything you need to know to know about the Celtics-Warriors game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Celtics vs. Warriors Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Thursday, February 19, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
• Where: Chase Center in San Francisco, California
• TV: Amazon Prime Video, NBCS-BA, and NBCS-BOS
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Celtics vs. Warriors Prediction

ATS Pick: Warriors (+ 6)
O/U Pick: Over (211.5)
Score Prediction: Celtics 114 - Warriors 113

Celtics vs. Warriors Betting Insights

• Out of 54 games so far this year, the Celtics have had 39 with over 211.5 points scored, their current matchup's total.
• The Warriors have played in 41 games this season (74.5% of opportunities) in which the teams combined to score more than 211.5 points.
• Between them, these two teams average 19.3 more points per game (230.8) than this game's over/under (211.5).
• The Celtics and the Warriors have seen their opponents average a combined 10.6 more points per game than the point total of 211.5 set in this outing.
• Boston has won 27, or 69.2%, of the 39 contests in which it was the favorite this year.
• Golden State has been chosen as underdogs in 16 games this year and has walked away with the win six times (37.5%) in those games.
• Boston and Golden State have each won one of their last two head-to-head matchups.
• The squads are both 1-1 against the spread in those contests.
• The Warriors didn't cover the spread in their past three games, and were favored in one of those contests.

Celtics Recent Trends

• The Celtics are 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall in their past 10 games.
• Boston has averaged a total of 222.2 combined points in its last 10 games, 10.7 greater than this game's total of 211.5.
• The Celtics have 30 wins against the spread in 54 games this season.
• Boston has been favored by 6 points or more 25 times this season and are 15-10 ATS in those matchups.
• Celtics games this year have hit the over 36.4% of the time (20 out of 55 games with a set point total).
• The Celtics record 115.3 points per game, just 1.6 more points than the 113.7 the Warriors allow.
• Boston is 23-4 against the spread and 25-2 overall when scoring more than 113.7 points.
• The Celtics make 46.7% of their shots from the field this season, which is 0.5 percentage points lower than the Warriors have allowed to their opponents (47.2%).
• The Celtics own a worse record against the spread in home games (13-14-0) than they do on the road (17-9-1).
• Boston has gone over the over/under in the same percentage of home games as games on the road (37%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Celtics have won a lower percentage of their home games (.682) compared to road games (.706).

Celtics Recent Stats

Celtics Leaders

• Jaylen Brown posts 29.3 points, 6.9 boards and 4.7 assists per contest, shooting 48.3% from the floor and 34.8% from downtown with 2.1 made 3-pointers per game.
• Derrick White puts up 17.2 points, 4.4 boards and 5.6 assists per game, shooting 38.9% from the field and 32.5% from beyond the arc with 2.9 made treys per game.
• Nikola Vucevic posts 16.7 points, 9 rebounds and 3.7 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 0.7 steals and 0.7 blocks.
• Payton Pritchard averages 17.2 points, 5.3 assists and 4.2 rebounds.
• Neemias Queta puts up 9.7 points, 8.3 boards and 1.5 assists per contest. At the other end he averages 0.9 steals and 1.3 blocks.

Celtics Player Props

Warriors Recent Trends

• The Warriors have gone 4-6 over their past 10 contests, with a 3-7 record against the spread during that span.
• Golden State's average total over the last 10 games is 14.3 points greater than the 211.5 over/under listed for this matchup.
• Against the spread, the Warriors are 24-30-1 this year.
• Golden State has covered the spread twice this year when underdogs by 6 points or more (in nine chances).
• The Warriors have hit the over 56.4% of the time this year (31 of 55 games with a set point total).
• The Warriors' 115.5 points per game are 7.1 more points than the 108.4 the Celtics allow to opponents.
• When it scores more than 108.4 points, Golden State is 20-19-1 against the spread and 25-15 overall.
• The Warriors have shot at a 46.1% clip from the field this season, 1.7 percentage points above the 44.4% shooting opponents of the Celtics have averaged.
• This season, the Warriors are 13-14-1 at home against the spread (.464 winning percentage). Away, they are 11-16-0 ATS (.407).
• In 2025-26, a higher percentage of Golden State's games have finished above the over/under at home (60.7%, 17 of 28) than on the road (51.9%, 14 of 27).
• As moneyline favorites, the Warriors have won a higher percentage of games at home (17-7) than away (6-9).

Warriors Recent Stats

Warriors Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Brandin Podziemski gives the Warriors 12 points, 4.6 rebounds and 3.5 assists. He also averages 1.1 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
• Draymond Green is putting up 8.6 points, 5.7 rebounds and 5.2 assists per contest. He's draining 41.7% of his shots from the floor and 32.7% from beyond the arc, with 1.5 triples per contest.
• The Warriors are receiving 11.5 points, 3.3 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game from Moses Moody this year.
• The Warriors are receiving 7.7 points, 3.8 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game from Quinten Post this season.
• The Warriors are receiving 7.6 points, 4.9 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game from Al Horford this season.

Warriors Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.