Celtics vs. Heat Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec. 19

The Boston Celtics (15-11) face the Miami Heat (15-12) on December 19, 2025 on FDSSUN and NBCS-BOS. Friday's matchup between the Celtics and the Heat features the Celtics as solid 7-point favorites. A 231.5-point total is set for the game.

Take a look at everything you need to know about the Celtics-Heat game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Celtics vs. Heat Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Friday, December 19, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts
• TV: FDSSUN and NBCS-BOS
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Celtics vs. Heat Prediction

ATS Pick: Heat (+ 7)
O/U Pick: Over (231.5)
Score Prediction: Celtics 118 - Heat 114

Celtics vs. Heat Betting Insights

• The Celtics have played 11 games with more than 231.5 points scored, their current matchup's total, this year.
• The Heat have played in 16 games this season (59.3% of opportunities) in which the teams combined to score more than 231.5 points.
• The two teams average a combined 4.9 more points per game (236.4) than this game's over/under of 231.5 points.
• Opponents of the two teams average a combined 3.8 fewer points per game (227.7) than this matchup's total of 231.5 points.
• Boston has come away with 10 wins in the 16 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season.
• Miami has been victorious in seven, or 50%, of the 14 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
• Boston has come out on top in three of its last four head-to-head matchups against Miami.
• The Celtics also have a 3-1 record against the spread when playing the Heat.

Celtics Recent Trends

• The Celtics have gone 7-3 over their last 10 contests, with an 8-2 record against the spread during that span.
• Boston and its opponents have combined to score an average of 229 points over its last 10 games, 2.5 less than the 231.5 over/under in this matchup.
• The Celtics are 14-11-1 against the spread this season.
• This season, Boston has an against the spread record of 5-3 in its eight games as a favorite of 7 points or more.
• The Celtics have gone over the point total in 44.4% of their opportunities this year (12 times over 27 games with a set point total).
• The Celtics record just 0.7 fewer points per game (116.2) than the Heat give up (116.9).
• Boston is 11-1 against the spread and 12-0 overall when scoring more than 116.9 points.
• The Celtics make 47% of their shots from the field this season, which is 2.5 percentage points higher than the Heat have allowed to their opponents (44.5%).
• In home games, the Celtics have an identical winning percentage against the spread as they do in away games (.538).
• In terms of point totals, Boston hits the over more often in home games, as it has eclipsed the total seven times in 13 opportunities this season (53.8%). In road games, it has hit the over five times in 13 opportunities (38.5%).
• The Celtics have performed worse as a moneyline favorite in home games, sporting a home record of 5-4, compared to going 5-2 on the road.

Celtics Recent Stats

Celtics Leaders

• Jaylen Brown posts 29.3 points, 6.2 rebounds and 4.9 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.5 blocks.
• Derrick White posts 17.8 points, 4.1 boards and 5 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.4 steals and 1.2 blocks.
• Payton Pritchard averages 16.7 points, 5 assists and 4.3 rebounds per game.
• Neemias Queta posts 9.9 points, 8.2 boards and 1.6 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 0.7 steals and 1.3 blocks.
• Anfernee Simons averages 13 points, 2.5 assists and 2.1 boards.

Celtics Player Props

Heat Recent Trends

• The Heat are 3-7 against the spread and 4-6 overall in their past 10 games.
• Miami has averaged a total of 237.5 combined points over its last 10 games, six greater than this game's over/under of 231.5.
• In the Heat's 27 games this year, they have 15 wins against the spread.
• So far this year, Miami has been installed as underdogs by a 7-point margin or more four times and are 3-1 ATS in those contests.
• Heat games this season have hit the over on 13 of 27 set point totals (48.1%).
• The Heat's 120.2 points per game are 9.4 more points than the 110.8 the Celtics give up.
• Miami is 12-6 against the spread and 11-7 overall when it scores more than 110.8 points.
• The Heat's 47.6% shooting percentage from the field this season is 2.5 percentage points higher than the Celtics have allowed to their opponents (45.1%).
• The Heat have performed better against the spread at home (8-6-0) than on the road (7-5-1) this season.
• Miami's games have finished above the over/under 42.9% of the time at home (six of 14), and 53.8% of the time away (seven of 13).
• The Heat's winning percentage at home when moneyline favorites is .636 (7-4), and away it is .500 (1-1).

Heat Recent Stats

Heat Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Jaime Jaquez Jr. gets the Heat 15.5 points, 5.7 rebounds and 4.8 assists. He also averages 0.8 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
• Kel'el Ware is averaging 11.5 points, 10.3 rebounds and 0.6 assists per game. He's draining 54.3% of his shots from the floor.
• The Heat are getting 18.7 points, 9.4 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game from Bam Adebayo this season.
• Norman Powell is putting up 24.4 points, 3.8 rebounds and 2.5 assists per contest. He is sinking 49.6% of his shots from the floor and 43.4% from 3-point range, with 3 triples per game.
• Andrew Wiggins gets the Heat 16.3 points, 4.8 rebounds and 2.8 assists per contest while putting up 1.1 steals and 1.1 blocked shots.

Heat Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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