
Bucks vs. Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 23
The Denver Nuggets (30-15) will look to continue a five-game road winning run when taking on the Milwaukee Bucks (18-25) on January 23, 2026 at Fiserv Forum. Friday's matchup between the Bucks and the Nuggets sees the Bucks as a solid, 7.5-point favorite. The game has an over/under of 213.5.
Here is everything you need to know about the Bucks-Nuggets game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.
Bucks vs. Nuggets Game Information, TV Channel & Odds
- When: Friday, January 23, 2026 at 9:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
- TV: Amazon Prime Video, FDSWI, and ALT
- Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucks | -7.5 | -110 | -110 | 213.5 | -110 | -110 | -319 | +260 |
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Bucks vs. Nuggets Prediction
ATS Pick: Nuggets (+ 7.5)
O/U Pick: Over (213.5)
Score Prediction: Nuggets 118 - Bucks 115
Bucks vs. Nuggets Betting Insights
- The Bucks and their opponent have combined to score over 213.5 points, the current matchup's over/under, in 35 of 43 games this year.
- The Nuggets have played in 39 games this year (86.7% of opportunities) in which the teams combined to score more than 213.5 points.
- The Bucks and the Nuggets combine to average 19.8 more points per game than the total of 213.5 set for this matchup.
- The Bucks and the Nuggets have seen their opponents average a combined 18.8 more points per game than the point total of 213.5 set for this matchup.
- Milwaukee has come away with 10 wins in the 19 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season.
- Denver has been chosen as underdogs in 13 games this year and has walked away with the win seven times (53.8%) in those games.
- After the last one head-to-head matchups, Denver has a 1-0 record against Milwaukee.
- The Nuggets also have a 1-0 record against the spread when facing the Bucks.
Bucks Recent Trends
- The Bucks are 3-7 against the spread and 4-6 overall in their past 10 contests.
- Milwaukee and its opponents have combined to score an average of 228 points over its last 10 games, 14.5 more than the 213.5 over/under in this matchup.
- The Bucks have 19 wins against the spread in 43 games this season.
- Milwaukee has been favored by 7.5 points or more five times this season and are 3-2 ATS in those contests.
- Bucks games this year have hit the over on 17 of 45 set point totals.
- The Bucks average 112.2 points per game, only 4.3 fewer points than the 116.5 the Nuggets allow.
- Milwaukee is 7-4 against the spread and 9-2 overall when scoring more than 116.5 points.
- The Bucks make 48.3% of their shots from the field this season, which is 1.3 percentage points higher than the Nuggets have allowed to their opponents (47%).
- The Bucks own a worse record against the spread at home (8-12-0) than they do on the road (11-12-0).
- Milwaukee has exceeded the total in 10 of 20 home games (50%), compared to seven of 23 road games (30.4%).
- As a moneyline favorite, the Bucks have won a lower percentage of their home games (.500) compared to road games (.556).
Bucks Recent Stats
| Stat | Average | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points Scored | 112.2 | 26 |
| Points Allowed | 115.8 | 16 |
| Rebounds | 40.4 | 29 |
| Assists | 26.3 | 14 |
| Steals | 7.8 | 19 |
| Blocks | 4 | 28 |
Bucks Leaders
- Giannis Antetokounmpo posts 28.2 points, 5.6 assists and 9.9 boards per game.
- Ryan Rollins puts up 16 points, 4.5 rebounds and 5.5 assists per contest, shooting 46.1% from the floor and 39.2% from beyond the arc with 2.2 made treys per game.
- Bobby Portis posts 13.2 points, 6.4 rebounds and 1.5 assists per contest, shooting 49% from the floor and 46.7% from downtown (second in league) with 2 made 3-pointers per contest.
- Myles Turner posts 12.2 points, 5.3 boards and 1.6 assists per contest, shooting 42.1% from the floor and 39% from beyond the arc with 2.2 made treys per game.
- Kyle Kuzma puts up 12.5 points, 4.5 rebounds and 2.1 assists per game. At the other end he averages 0.6 steals and 0.5 blocks.
Bucks Player Props
| Points O/U | Points Over Odds | PPG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | 30.5 | +100 | 28.2 |
| Ryan Rollins | 15.5 | -106 | 16 |
| Bobby Portis | 13.5 | -102 | 13.2 |
| Kyle Kuzma | 12.5 | -118 | 12.5 |
| AJ Green | 11.5 | +102 | 10.5 |
Nuggets Recent Trends
- The Nuggets have gone 7-3 over their last 10 contests, with a 6-4 record against the spread during that span.
- Denver has averaged a total of 227.9 combined points in its last 10 games, 14.4 greater than this matchup's over/under of 213.5.
- The Nuggets have played 45 games, with 26 wins against the spread.
- Denver has an against the spread record of 3-0 in its three games as an underdog of 7.5 points or more this year.
- Nuggets games this season have hit the over 60% of the time (27 out of 45 games with a set point total).
- The Nuggets' 121.1 points per game are 5.3 more points than the 115.8 the Bucks allow to opponents.
- Denver is 20-12 against the spread and 24-8 overall when it scores more than 115.8 points.
- The Nuggets' 49.8% shooting percentage from the field this season is 2.9 percentage points higher than the Bucks have given up to their opponents (46.9%).
- The Nuggets' winning percentage against the spread at home is .500 (10-10-0). Away, it is .640 (16-9-0).
- Denver's games have finished above the over/under less frequently at home (11 times out of 20) than on the road (16 of 25) this year.
- The Nuggets' winning percentage at home when moneyline favorites is .714 (10-4), and away it is .722 (13-5).
Nuggets Recent Stats
| Stat | Average | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points Scored | 121.1 | 2 |
| Points Allowed | 116.5 | 19 |
| Rebounds | 42.2 | 24 |
| Assists | 28.2 | 9 |
| Steals | 6.9 | 29 |
| Blocks | 4.1 | 26 |
Nuggets Leaders
- Jamal Murray delivers 26 points, 4.3 rebounds and 7.3 assists per game for the Nuggets.
- Peyton Watson is putting up 14.5 points, 5.1 rebounds and 1.9 assists per contest. He's draining 50.8% of his shots from the floor and 42.1% from beyond the arc, with 1.5 treys per contest.
- The Nuggets are getting 13.7 points, 2.3 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game from Tim Hardaway Jr. this year.
- Bruce Brown gets the Nuggets 7 points, 4.1 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game while delivering 1 steal and 0.2 blocked shots.
- Aaron Gordon gives the Nuggets 17.9 points, 6.2 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game while posting 0.6 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
Nuggets Player Props
| Points O/U | Points Over Odds | PPG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray | 26.5 | -114 | 26 |
| Peyton Watson | 18.5 | -106 | 14.5 |
| Aaron Gordon | 18.5 | -104 | 17.9 |
| Jalen Pickett | 11.5 | -102 | 6.1 |
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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