Yankees vs. Twins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 15

Aaron Judge and the New York Yankees will attempt to defeat Luke Keaschall and the Minnesota Twins when the teams meet on Monday at 7:40 p.m. ET. The Yankees are -202 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Twins (+167). New York is a 1.5-run favorite (at -126 odds). The total is 9 runs for this game.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Twins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Yankees vs. Twins Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, September 15, 2025 at 7:40 p.m. ET
• Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
• How to watch on TV: MNNT and YES

Yankees vs. Twins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Twins 4
• Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Yankees 53%, Twins 47%

Yankees vs. Twins Betting Insights

• This season, the Yankees have won 73 out of the 126 games, or 57.9%, in which they've been favored.
• New York has a record of 20-8 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -202 on the moneyline.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 66.9% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
• The Twins have been chosen as underdogs in 59 games this year and have walked away with the win 23 times (39%) in those games.
• This season, Minnesota has been victorious two times in six chances when named as an underdog of at least +167 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 37.5% chance of pulling out a win.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• The Yankees went 6-3 over the nine games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Yankees and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times.
• The Yankees have gone 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• Judge paces the Yankees in home runs (48), runs batted in (102) and has a team-high batting average of .326.
• Among all batters in the majors, Judge is fourth in homers and eighth in RBI.
• Judge takes a hitting streak of four games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .471 with four home runs, four walks and four RBIs.
• Cody Bellinger has 25 doubles, five triples, 28 home runs and 48 walks while batting .276.
• Among all major league batters, Bellinger is 24th in homers and 16th in RBI.
• Jazz Chisholm has 13 doubles, a triple, 29 home runs and 56 walks while hitting .244.
• Trent Grisham is batting .237 with nine doubles, a triple, 30 home runs and 71 walks.

Yankees Team Props

Twins Recent Betting Performance

• The Twins have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• The Twins and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Twins have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Twins Player Insights

• Byron Buxton paces the Twins in home runs (31), runs batted in (76) and has a team-high batting average of .270.
• Buxton is 12th in homers and 49th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
• Trevor Larnach has 21 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 50 walks while batting .252.
• Larnach ranks 112th among all batters in the big leagues in home runs, and 117th in RBI.
• Brooks Lee has 14 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 30 walks while hitting .235.
• Kody Clemens has 11 doubles, three triples, 19 home runs and 26 walks while hitting .216.

Twins Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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