Yankees vs. Tigers Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 11

Aaron Judge and the New York Yankees will meet Riley Greene and the Detroit Tigers on Thursday at Yankee Stadium, at 7:05 p.m. ET. The Yankees are favored in this one, at -169, while the underdog Tigers have +142 odds to upset. New York is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +124 odds). The over/under is 8.5 runs for this matchup.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Tigers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Tigers vs. Yankees Highlights | MLB on FOX

Enjoy the best moments between Detroit Tigers and the New York Yankees.

Yankees vs. Tigers Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, September 11, 2025 at 7:05 p.m. ET
• Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
• How to watch on TV: YES and FDSDET

Yankees vs. Tigers Prediction

• Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Tigers 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Yankees 54%, Tigers 46%

Yankees vs. Tigers Betting Insights

• The Yankees have entered the game as favorites 123 times this season and won 70, or 56.9%, of those games.
• New York has a record of 36-18, a 66.7% win rate, when favored by -169 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 62.8% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
• The Tigers have been underdogs in 45 games this season and have come away with the win 22 times (48.9%) in those contests.
• Detroit has a mark of 2-3 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +142 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 41.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• The Yankees have a 5-5 record from the 10 games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings, the Yankees and their opponents combined to hit the over four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Yankees have gone 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• Judge is the bat to watch in the Yankees lineup, leading the team in batting average (.319), home runs (44), and RBI (98).
• Among all MLB hitters, Judge ranks first in batting average, first in on-base percentage, and first in slugging.
• Cody Bellinger is hitting .277 with 24 doubles, five triples, 28 home runs and 47 walks.
• Including all MLB hitters, Bellinger ranks 21st in home runs and 19th in RBI.
• Bellinger carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with a double, a home run, four walks and two RBIs.
• Trent Grisham is batting .242 with nine doubles, a triple, 30 home runs and 70 walks.
• Jazz Chisholm has 13 doubles, a triple, 28 home runs and 55 walks while hitting .237.

Yankees Team Props

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

• In five games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Tigers had a record of 3-2.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Tigers and their opponents are 6-4-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Tigers have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Tigers Recent Stats

Tigers Player Insights

• Gleyber Torres is hitting .259 with 20 doubles, 15 home runs and 77 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .363.
• In all of the majors, Torres ranks 126th in homers and 65th in RBI.
• Greene proven to be a run producer as he leads his team with 33 home runs and 107 runs batted in, with a team-best .268 batting average.
• Greene ranks ninth overall in home runs and fifth in RBI this year.
• Spencer Torkelson is hitting .237 with 26 doubles, a triple, 28 home runs and 65 walks.
• Zach McKinstry is hitting .266 with 21 doubles, 11 triples, 11 home runs and 45 walks.

Tigers Team Props

Tigers vs. Yankees Highlights | MLB on FOX

Enjoy the best moments between Detroit Tigers and the New York Yankees.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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