Yankees vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 30

Austin Wells and the New York Yankees will play Bobby Witt Jr. and the Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium on Saturday. The Royals have been listed as +115 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the favorite Yankees (-136). New York (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The game's over/under is listed at 9.5 runs.

The starting pitchers are Clarke Schmidt (9-9) for the New York Yankees, and Steven Cruz for the Kansas City Royals.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Royals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Yankees vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, September 30, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
• Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
• How to Watch on TV: BSKC

Yankees vs. Royals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Royals 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Yankees 51%, Royals 49%

Yankees vs. Royals Betting Insights

• The Yankees have entered the game as favorites 95 times this season and won 51, or 53.7%, of those games.
• This season New York has won 37 of its 60 games, or 61.7%, when favored by at least -136 on the moneyline.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 57.6% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
• The Royals have been underdogs in 136 games this season and have come away with the win 47 times (34.6%) in those contests.
• This year, Kansas City has won 42 of 120 games when listed as at least +115 or worse on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Royals have a 46.5% chance of pulling out a win.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• The Yankees were the moneyline favorite in three of their last 10 games, and they went 1-2 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Yankees and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times.
• The Yankees have a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• The Yankees best hitter so far this season is Gleyber Torres, who's hitting at a team-leading .272 rate along with 25 homers and 66 RBI.
• Torres ranks 44th in homers and 102nd in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Aaron Judge has hit 37 home runs with 75 runs batted in. Both lead his team.
• Anthony Volpe has 23 doubles, four triples, 21 home runs and 52 walks while hitting .207.
• Volpe has at least one base hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .158 with a double and a walk.
• DJ LeMahieu is hitting .241 with 22 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 58 walks.

Yankees Team Props

Learn more about this Yankees vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

• In 10 games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Royals had a record of 7-3.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents have combined to hit the over seven times.
• The Royals have a record of 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Royals Recent Stats

Royals Player Insights

• Witt Jr. leads the Royals in home runs (30), runs batted in (96) and has recorded a team-high batting average of .275.
• In all of MLB, Witt Jr. is 25th in home runs and 22nd in RBI.
• Salvador Perez is hitting .256 with 21 doubles, 22 home runs and 19 walks.
• Perez is 70th in homers and 60th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Maikel Garcia paces the Royals' lineup with a .275 batting average.
• MJ Melendez is hitting .232 with 29 doubles, five triples, 15 home runs and 61 walks.

Royals Team Props