Yankees vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 24

Trevor Story and the Boston Red Sox will hit the field on Sunday at Yankee Stadium against Carlos Rodon, who is starting for the New York Yankees. First pitch will be at 7:10 p.m. ET for the final game of a four-game series. The Red Sox are +137 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the favorite Yankees (-163). New York is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The matchup's over/under is set at 8.5 runs.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Keep up with MLB on FOX Sports.

Red Sox vs. Yankees Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees.

Yankees vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, August 24, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
• How to watch on TV: ESPN

Yankees vs. Red Sox Prediction

• Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Red Sox 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Yankees 52%, Red Sox 48%

Yankees vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

• The Yankees have entered the game as favorites 107 times this season and won 59, or 55.1%, of those games.
• New York has a record of 32-19, a 62.7% win rate, when favored by -163 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The Yankees have a 62% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Red Sox have been chosen as underdogs in 49 games this year and have walked away with the win 24 times (49%) in those games.
• Boston has a win-loss record of 7-6 when favored by +137 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 42.2% chance of pulling out a win.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• The Yankees were the moneyline favorite for eight of their last 10 games, and went 5-3 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Yankees and their opponents combined to go over the run total seven times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Yankees' record against the spread is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• Aaron Judge paces the Yankees with 40 home runs and 92 runs batted in, while putting up a team-high batting average of .326.
• In all of Major League Baseball, Judge ranks fourth in home runs and sixth in RBI.
• Cody Bellinger is hitting .272 with 20 doubles, five triples, 24 home runs and 38 walks.
• Bellinger is 30th in homers in the majors, and 25th in RBI.
• Trent Grisham is batting .244 with nine doubles, a triple, 23 home runs and 58 walks.
• Ben Rice is hitting .242 with 21 doubles, three triples, 20 home runs and 43 walks.

Yankees Team Props

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• In four games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Red Sox have a record of 3-1.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Red Sox and their opponents have failed to hit the over five times.
• The Red Sox are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Jarren Duran is batting .259 with 34 doubles, 12 triples, 12 home runs and 49 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .335.
• Duran's home run total puts him 141st in the majors, and he ranks 41st in RBI.
• Story has a club-high 82 RBI and .261 batting average.
• Story is 52nd in homers and 17th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Ceddanne Rafaela is hitting .249 with 26 doubles, three triples, 14 home runs and 22 walks.
• Alex Bregman is batting .305 with 24 doubles, 16 home runs and 38 walks.

Red Sox Team Props

Red Sox vs. Yankees Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience

New York Yankees

Boston Red Sox