Yankees vs. Blue Jays Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 6

Aaron Judge and the New York Yankees will meet Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and the Toronto Blue Jays on Saturday at Yankee Stadium, at 1:05 p.m. ET. The Blue Jays are listed as +118 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the favored Yankees (-140). New York is the run-line favorite (-1.5). A 10-run over/under has been listed in the matchup.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Blue Jays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Blue Jays vs. Yankees Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the Toronto Blue Jays and the New York Yankees.

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, September 6, 2025 at 1:05 p.m. ET
• Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
• How to watch on TV: MLB Network, YES, and SNET

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Prediction

• Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Blue Jays 4
• Total Prediction: Under 10 runs
• Win Probabilities: Yankees 54%, Blue Jays 46%

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Betting Insights

• The Yankees have been favorites in 119 games this season and won 68 (57.1%) of those contests.
• This season New York has won 55 of its 88 games, or 62.5%, when favored by at least -140 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.3% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
• The Blue Jays have been chosen as underdogs in 70 games this year and have walked away with the win 41 times (58.6%) in those games.
• Toronto has a mark of 8-8 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +118 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Blue Jays have an implied victory probability of 45.9% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• The Yankees have a 7-3 record across the 10 games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Yankees and their opponents combined to go over the total five times.
• The Yankees have put together a 7-3-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• Not only does Judge lead the Yankees in hitting with his .322 average, he also is their premier power option with 43 home runs and 97 RBI.
• Among all MLB batters, Judge is first in batting average, first in on-base percentage, and first in slugging.
• Cody Bellinger has 23 doubles, five triples, 27 home runs and 43 walks while hitting .275.
• Bellinger is 25th in homers and 18th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
• Trent Grisham is batting .248 with nine doubles, a triple, 30 home runs and 68 walks.
• Grisham will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is batting .294 with two home runs, three walks and seven RBIs.
• Jazz Chisholm is batting .240 with 13 doubles, a triple, 28 home runs and 54 walks.

Yankees Team Props

Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance

• The Blue Jays have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Blue Jays and their opponents have combined to hit the over eight times.
• The Blue Jays have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Blue Jays Recent Stats

Blue Jays Player Insights

• Guerrero is hitting .298 with 31 doubles, 23 home runs and 76 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .393.
• In all of MLB, Guerrero is 43rd in homers and 30th in RBI.
• Guerrero carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .524 with a double, two home runs, four walks and five RBIs.
• Bo Bichette's 93 runs batted in and .311 batting average are both team-highs.
• Bichette ranks 84th in home runs and 11th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• George Springer leads the Blue Jays with 27 long balls.
• Alejandro Kirk has 17 doubles, 12 home runs and 43 walks while batting .296.

Blue Jays Team Props

Blue Jays vs. Yankees Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the Toronto Blue Jays and the New York Yankees.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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