Yankees vs. Blue Jays Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 1

Aaron Judge and the New York Yankees take on Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and the Toronto Blue Jays on Tuesday at 3:07 p.m. ET. The favored Yankees have -164 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Blue Jays, who are listed at +138. New York is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The matchup's over/under has been set at 7.5 runs.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Blue Jays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Yankees vs. Blue Jays Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top highlights from this MLB game between the New York Yankees and the Toronto Blue Jays!

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, July 1, 2025 at 3:07 p.m. ET
• Where: Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario
• How to watch on TV: MLB Network, SNET, and YES

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Prediction

• Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Blue Jays 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Yankees 50%, Blue Jays 50%

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Betting Insights

• This season, the Yankees have been favored 75 times and won 45, or 60%, of those games.
• New York has entered 42 games this season favored by -164 or more and is 27-15 in those contests.
• The Yankees have a 62.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Blue Jays have come away with 26 wins in the 49 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Toronto has been victorious two times in five chances when named as an underdog of at least +138 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Blue Jays have a 42% chance of walking away with the win.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• The Yankees went 5-5 across the 10 games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Yankees combined with their opponents to go over the total two times.
• The Yankees have a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• Judge has accumulated a team-high batting average of .354, while pacing the Yankees in home runs (30) and runs batted in (67).
• Including all MLB hitters, Judge is first in batting average, first in on-base percentage, and first in slugging.
• Cody Bellinger is hitting .269 with 15 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 28 walks.
• Bellinger is 56th in home runs and 53rd in RBI in the majors.
• Bellinger carries a six-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last 10 outings he is batting .395 with three doubles, three home runs, a walk and seven RBIs.
• Paul Goldschmidt has 15 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 27 walks while batting .282.
• Anthony Volpe is batting .229 with 21 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 34 walks.
• Volpe takes a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .143 with a double, six walks and an RBI.

Yankees Team Props

Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance

• In four games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Blue Jays have a record of 3-1.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Blue Jays and their opponents have failed to hit the over five times.
• The Blue Jays have seven wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Blue Jays Recent Stats

Blue Jays Player Insights

• Guerrero paces the Blue Jays with 12 long balls.
• Guerrero ranks 56th in homers and 49th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Bo Bichette has driven in the most runs for the Blue Jays with 49 runs batted in.
• Among all major league hitters, Bichette ranks 71st in homers and 29th in RBI.
• George Springer is batting .263 with 15 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 39 walks.
• Alejandro Kirk leads the team in batting average with a mark of .311.

Blue Jays Team Props

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top highlights from this MLB game between the New York Yankees and the Toronto Blue Jays!

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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