Yankees vs. Blue Jays ALDS Game 4 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 8

The ALDS resumes Wednesday at 7:08 p.m. ET when the New York Yankees host the Toronto Blue Jays live on FS1 from Yankee Stadium. The Blue Jays would advance to the ALCS with a Game 4 win while the Yankees hope to force a winner-take-all Game 5. The Yankees are favored in this one, at -170, while the underdog Blue Jays have +142 odds to win. New York is a 1.5-run favorite (at +121 odds). An 8-run total is set for this game.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Blue Jays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Aaron Judge SILENCING CRITICS 🤫 last night in CLUTCH Yankees' win over Blue Jays

Alex Rodriguez, Derek Jeter and David Ortiz discussed whether Aaron Judge silenced all his critics after his herculean performance in Game 3 of the ALDS against the Toronto Blue Jays.

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, October 8, 2025 at 7:08 p.m. ET
• Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
• How to watch on TV: FS1

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Prediction

• Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Blue Jays 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Yankees 54%, Blue Jays 46%

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Betting Insights

• The Yankees have won 87, or 60.4%, of the 144 games they've played as favorites this season.
• This season New York has won 43 of its 59 games, or 72.9%, when favored by at least -170 on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 63% chance to win.
• The Blue Jays have come away with 43 wins in the 76 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Toronto has come away with a win four times in eight chances when named as an underdog of at least +142 or worse on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Blue Jays have a 41.3% chance of pulling out a win.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• The Yankees were the moneyline favorite for nine of their last 10 games, and they went 7-2 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Yankees and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total four times.
• The Yankees have gone 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• Aaron Judge has a team-high batting average of .331, and paces the Yankees in home runs (53) and runs batted in (114).
• Among all hitters in MLB, Judge's home run total ranks him fourth, and his RBI tally ranks him fifth.
• Judge has collected a hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .500 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and six RBIs.
• Cody Bellinger has 25 doubles, five triples, 29 home runs and 57 walks while hitting .272.
• Bellinger ranks 34th in home runs and 17th in RBI on the year.
• Bellinger has two games in a row with at least one hit. In his last five games he is hitting .263 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and four RBIs.
• Trent Grisham is hitting .235 with nine doubles, a triple, 34 home runs and 82 walks.
• Grisham is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .200 with two doubles and three walks.
• Ben Rice is batting .255 with 28 doubles, four triples, 26 home runs and 50 walks.

Yankees Team Props

Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance

• The Blue Jays have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Blue Jays and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
• The Blue Jays have a record of 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Blue Jays Recent Stats

Blue Jays Player Insights

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is hitting .292 with 34 doubles, 23 home runs and 81 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .381.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Guerrero is 62nd in homers and 43rd in RBI.
• Guerrero takes a hitting streak of four games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .409 with three home runs, a walk and nine RBIs.
• George Springer's 32 home runs pace his team.
• Among all major league batters, Springer ranks 17th in home runs and 43rd in RBI.
• Ernie Clement has 35 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 27 walks while batting .277.
• Alejandro Kirk is hitting .282 with 18 doubles, 15 home runs and 48 walks.

Blue Jays Team Props

Aaron Judge SILENCING CRITICS 🤫 last night in CLUTCH Yankees' win over Blue Jays

Alex Rodriguez, Derek Jeter and David Ortiz discussed whether Aaron Judge silenced all his critics after his herculean performance in Game 3 of the ALDS against the Toronto Blue Jays.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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