
Twins vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 30
Byron Buxton and the Minnesota Twins will try to outdo Kyle Manzardo and the Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field on Wednesday at 6:10 p.m. ET. The Twins have been listed as -114 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Guardians (-105). Minnesota is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under is 7 runs for the game (with -117 odds to hit the over and -103 odds on the under).
Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Twins-Guardians game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Twins vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX
Twins vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds
- When: Wednesday, April 30, 2025 at 6:10 p.m. ET
- Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
- How to watch on TV: CLEG and MNNT
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -114 | -105 | 7 | -117 | -103 | -1.5 | +153 | -185 |
Twins vs. Guardians Prediction
- Score Prediction: Twins 6, Guardians 5
- Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
- Win Probabilities: Twins 50%, Guardians 50%
Twins vs. Guardians Betting Insights
- The Twins have entered the game as favorites 21 times this season and won 11, or 52.4%, of those games.
- Minnesota has entered 18 games this season favored by -114 or more and is 10-8 in those contests.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 53.3% chance to win.
- The Guardians have been underdogs in 17 games this season and have come away with the win seven times (41.2%) in those contests.
- This season, Cleveland has come away with a win seven times in 17 chances when named as an underdog of at least -105 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 51.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
Twins Recent Betting Performance
- The Twins were the moneyline favorite in six of their last 10 games, and they finished 5-1 in those matchups.
- In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Twins and their opponents combined to hit the over three times.
- The Twins have an 8-2-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.
Twins Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 2.75 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
Twins Player Insights
- Ty France leads the Twins with 18 runs batted in while accumulating a team-best batting average of .267.
- France ranks 103rd in homers and 30th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
- France takes a hitting streak of four games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .421 with three doubles, a home run, a walk and six RBI.
- Buxton has hit six home runs to pace his team.
- Among all major league hitters, Buxton ranks 30th in homers and 37th in RBI.
- Trevor Larnach is hitting .223 with two doubles, four home runs and 13 walks.
- Ryan Jeffers is batting .257 with seven doubles, a home run and nine walks.
- Jeffers has recorded at least one hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .350 with three doubles, a home run, three walks and five RBI.
Twins Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mickey Gasper | 0.5 (-195) | 1.5 (+140) | - | 0.5 (+215) |
| Carlos Correa | 0.5 (-230) | 1.5 (+135) | - | 0.5 (+200) |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 (-180) | 1.5 (+125) | - | 0.5 (+185) |
| Ty France | 0.5 (-180) | 0.5 (-185) | - | 0.5 (+215) |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 (-185) | 0.5 (-190) | - | 0.5 (+185) |
Guardians Recent Betting Performance
- The Guardians have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Guardians and their opponents are 6-4-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
- The Guardians have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.
Guardians Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.2 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.95 |
| K/9 | 8.2 |
Guardians Player Insights
- Steven Kwan leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .333.
- In all of the big leagues, Kwan is 67th in homers and 58th in RBI.
- Jose Ramirez is hitting .255 with four doubles, five home runs and nine walks.
- Ramirez ranks 47th in home runs and 72nd in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
- Manzardo paces the Guardians in home runs (eight) and runs batted in (19).
- Gabriel Arias is batting .270 with six doubles, four home runs and five walks.
Guardians Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 (-270) | 1.5 (+125) | - | 0.5 (+265) |
| José Ramírez | 0.5 (-200) | 1.5 (+130) | - | 0.5 (+180) |
| Nolan Jones | 0.5 (-175) | 0.5 (-180) | - | 0.5 (+270) |
| Kyle Manzardo | 0.5 (-150) | 0.5 (-155) | - | 0.5 (+170) |
| Gabriel Arias | 0.5 (-130) | 0.5 (-135) | - | 0.5 (+320) |
Twins vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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