Twins vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 5

Twins vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 5

Updated Aug. 5, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

Kenta Maeda will start for the Minnesota Twins on Saturday against Ketel Marte and the Arizona Diamondbacks. First pitch is at 7:10 PM ET for this second game in a three-game series. The Twins are favored in this one, at -162, while the underdog Diamondbacks have +138 odds to upset. Minnesota is a 1.5-run favorite (at +125 odds). An 8-run over/under is listed for this game.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Minnesota Twins looking to Maeda (2-6), and Ryne Nelson (6-5) answering the bell for the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Twins-Diamondbacks game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Twins vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

  • When: Saturday, August 5, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
  • Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • How to Watch on TV: BSN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Twins -162 +138 8 -111 -109 -1.5 +125 -149

Twins vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Twins 5, Diamondbacks 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Twins 54%, Diamondbacks 46%

Twins vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

  • The Twins have been favorites in 74 games this season and won 44 (59.5%) of those contests.
  • Minnesota has a record of 14-12, a 53.8% win rate, when favored by -162 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Twins, based on the moneyline, is 61.8%.
  • The Diamondbacks have been chosen as underdogs in 60 games this year and have walked away with the win 28 times (46.7%) in those games.
  • Arizona has a mark of 7-9 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +138 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 42% chance of walking away with the win.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

  • The Twins went 4-6 across the 10 games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Twins and their opponents combined to hit the over five times.
  • The Twins' record against the spread is 2-8-0 over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 14
ERA 5.41
K/9 9.2

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Twins Player Insights

  • Carlos Correa is the Twins best hitter, putting together an average of .220 while also being the team's top run producer, accumulating 45 RBI and hitting 12 home runs.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Correa is 117th in homers and 106th in RBI.
  • Max Kepler is batting .230 with 11 doubles, 16 home runs and 23 walks.
  • Willi Castro has 12 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 23 walks while batting .246.
  • Castro will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is hitting .308 with a double and a walk.
  • Donovan Solano is hitting .272 with 20 doubles, four home runs and 33 walks.
  • Solano takes a four-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .455 with two RBI.

Twins Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jorge Polanco 0.5 (-278) 1.5 (-110) 0.5 (+290) 0.5 (+145)
Christian Vázquez 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+185)
Ryan Jeffers 0.5 (-189) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+160)
Willi Castro 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+170)
Carlos Correa 1.5 (+205) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+360) 0.5 (+130)

Learn more about this Twins vs. Diamondbacks matchup on Fox Sports.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

  • The Diamondbacks have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Diamondbacks and their opponents have combined to hit the over just once.
  • The Diamondbacks are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 2.7
HR 6
ERA 3.89
K/9 9.1

Diamondbacks Player Insights

  • Corbin Carroll is batting .278 with 22 doubles, five triples, 21 home runs and 40 walks.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Carroll is 23rd in homers and 46th in RBI.
  • Marte has a club-best .287 batting average.
  • Marte is 37th among all hitters in the big leagues in home runs, and 55th in RBI.
  • Christian Walker paces the Diamondbacks in home runs (22) and runs batted in (68).
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has 24 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 21 walks while hitting .253.

Diamondbacks Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Christian Walker 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+370) 0.5 (+130)
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+165)
Corbin Carroll 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+390) 0.5 (+150)
Ketel Marte 1.5 (+190) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+155)
Jake McCarthy 0.5 (-204) 0.5 (-204) 0.5 (+1000) 0.5 (+260)

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