
Twins vs. Cubs Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 9
Seiya Suzuki and the Chicago Cubs square off against Trevor Larnach and the Minnesota Twins at Target Field on Wednesday at 7:40 p.m. ET. The Twins are -112 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Cubs (-107). Chicago (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The over/under is 9.5 runs for the matchup (with -100 odds on the over and -120 odds to go under).
Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Twins-Cubs game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Cubs vs. Twins Highlights | MLB on FOX
Twins vs. Cubs Game Information & Odds
- When: Wednesday, July 9, 2025 at 7:40 p.m. ET
- Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
- How to watch on TV: MNNT and MARQ
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -112 | -107 | 9.5 | -100 | -120 | -1.5 | -178 | +147 |
Twins vs. Cubs Prediction
- Score Prediction: Cubs 6, Twins 5
- Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Twins 51%, Cubs 49%
Twins vs. Cubs Betting Insights
- The Twins have won 30, or 51.7%, of the 58 games they've played as favorites this season.
- Minnesota is 30-25 this season when entering a game favored by -112 or more on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 52.8% chance to win.
- The Cubs have won in 10, or 37%, of the 27 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Chicago has been victorious 10 times in 26 chances when named as an underdog of at least -107 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 51.7% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
Twins Recent Betting Performance
- The Twins were the moneyline favorite in six of their last 10 games, and they finished 3-3 in those matchups.
- In their last 10 matchups, the Twins and their opponents combined to go over the total three times (all 10 games had set totals).
- The Twins' record against the spread is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.
Twins Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.5 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 3.62 |
| K/9 | 7.9 |
Twins Player Insights
- Not only does Byron Buxton lead the Twins in hitting with his .270 average, he also is their foremost power hitter with 20 home runs and 53 RBI.
- Among all batters in the majors, Buxton is 14th in homers and 30th in RBI.
- Buxton brings a hitting streak of two games into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .190 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and two RBIs.
- Larnach is hitting .259 with 15 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 27 walks.
- Larnach ranks 72nd in home runs in the majors, and 93rd in RBI.
- Larnach has four games in a row with at least one hit. In his last five games he is hitting .353 with three doubles.
- Ty France has 15 doubles, six home runs and 14 walks while batting .252.
- Ryan Jeffers is hitting .246 with 16 doubles, seven home runs and 31 walks.
- Jeffers brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is batting .400 with a double, a home run, a walk and three RBIs.
Twins Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willi Castro | 0.5 (-230) | 1.5 (+130) | - | 0.5 (+215) |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 (-225) | 1.5 (+130) | - | 0.5 (+170) |
| Ryan Jeffers | 0.5 (-205) | 1.5 (+130) | - | 0.5 (+165) |
| Royce Lewis | 0.5 (-240) | 1.5 (+110) | - | 0.5 (+150) |
| Carlos Correa | 0.5 (-235) | 1.5 (+125) | - | 0.5 (+175) |
Cubs Recent Betting Performance
- The Cubs have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Cubs and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
- The Cubs have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.
Cubs Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.6 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 3.68 |
| K/9 | 6.5 |
Cubs Player Insights
- Kyle Tucker is batting .286 with 18 doubles, four triples, 17 home runs and 58 walks.
- Tucker ranks 27th in homers and 26th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
- Tucker carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .200 with four walks and three RBIs.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong is hitting .269 with 20 doubles, four triples, 23 home runs and 17 walks.
- Crow-Armstrong is seventh overall in homers and eighth in RBI this year.
- Suzuki paces the Cubs in home runs (25) and runs batted in (77).
- Nico Hoerner is hitting .287 with 18 doubles, two triples, three home runs and 20 walks.
Cubs Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 (-235) | 1.5 (+100) | - | 0.5 (+135) |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | 0.5 (-230) | 1.5 (+105) | - | 0.5 (+140) |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 (-245) | 1.5 (+140) | - | 0.5 (+215) |
| Michael Busch | 0.5 (-225) | 1.5 (+110) | - | 0.5 (+150) |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 (-260) | 1.5 (-105) | - | 0.5 (+150) |
Cubs vs. Twins Highlights | MLB on FOX
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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