Royals vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 7

The Pittsburgh Pirates and Tommy Pham hit the field in the first game of a three-game series against Maikel Garcia and the Kansas City Royals on Monday at Kauffman Stadium. Bookmakers list the Royals as -152 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Pirates +127 moneyline odds to win. Kansas City (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The over/under is 8.5 runs for the contest.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Royals-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Royals vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, July 7, 2025 at 7:40 p.m. ET
• Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
• How to watch on TV: FDSKC and SportsNet PT

Royals vs. Pirates Prediction

• Score Prediction: Royals 5, Pirates 4
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Royals 52%, Pirates 48%

Royals vs. Pirates Betting Insights

• The Royals have entered the game as favorites 32 times this season and won 15, or 46.9%, of those games.
• Kansas City has a record of 7-5, a 58.3% win rate, when favored by -152 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 60.3% chance of a victory for the Royals.
• The Pirates have come away with 25 wins in the 63 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win 10 times in 37 chances when named as an underdog of at least +127 or longer on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 44.1% chance of pulling out a win.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

• Over the last 10 games, the Royals have not been favored on the moneyline.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Royals and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total four times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Royals' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Royals Recent Stats

Royals Player Insights

• Bobby Witt Jr. is batting .292 with 30 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 28 walks.
• In all of Major League Baseball, Witt is 69th in home runs and 42nd in RBI.
• Witt brings a hitting streak of 10 games into this game. During his last 10 outings he is batting .395 with three doubles, two home runs, two walks and nine RBIs.
• Garcia's .303 batting average leads his team.
• Garcia ranks 143rd in homers in the majors, and 88th in RBI.
• Garcia has three games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .200 with a double, two walks and an RBI.
• Vinnie Pasquantino paces the Royals in home runs (14) and runs batted in (55).
• Salvador Perez is hitting .235 with 23 doubles, 10 home runs and 16 walks.

Royals Team Props

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• The Pirates have played as underdogs in eight of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
• The Pirates have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Oneil Cruz has racked up a team-best 15 home runs.
• Cruz is 39th in homers and 116th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Bryan Reynolds has capitalized on opportunities as he leads his team with 45 RBI.
• Reynolds is currently 105th in homers and 60th in RBI in the big leagues.
• Andrew McCutchen leads the Pirates' lineup with a .261 batting average.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa is batting .272 with 10 doubles, two triples, a home run and 13 walks.

Pirates Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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