Reds vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 22

Andre Jackson takes the mound for the Pittsburgh Pirates on Friday at Great American Ball Park against Noelvi Marte and the Cincinnati Reds. First pitch is at 6:40 PM ET. The Pirates have been listed as +131 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the favorite Reds (-155). Cincinnati (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. A 9.5-run total is listed for the matchup.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Cincinnati Reds looking to Andrew Abbott (8-5), and Jackson (1-3) answering the bell for the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Reds-Pirates game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Reds vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, September 22, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
• Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
• How to Watch on TV: BSOH

Reds vs. Pirates Prediction

• Score Prediction: Reds 5, Pirates 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Reds 55%, Pirates 45%

Reds vs. Pirates Betting Insights

• The Reds have been favorites in 38 games this season and won 22 (57.9%) of those contests.
• Cincinnati has a record of 4-3 when favored by -155 or more by bookmakers this season.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Reds have a 60.8% chance to win.
• The Pirates have been chosen as underdogs in 122 games this year and have walked away with the win 53 times (43.4%) in those games.
• This year, Pittsburgh has won 28 of 62 games when listed as at least +131 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 43.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

• The Reds were favored on the moneyline for three of their last 10 games, and they finished 2-1 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Reds and their opponents combined to hit the over four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Reds' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Reds Recent Stats

Reds Player Insights

• Spencer Steer paces the Reds with 22 home runs and 82 runs batted in.
• In all of Major League Baseball, Steer ranks 65th in home runs and 42nd in RBI.
• Steer takes a hitting streak of four games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .400 with two doubles, three walks and an RBI.
• TJ Friedl has a club-best .272 batting average.
• Friedl ranks 155th in homers and 127th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Friedl has three straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .278 with an RBI.
• Jonathan India is batting .241 with 20 doubles, 16 home runs and 45 walks.
• Jake Fraley is hitting .263 with 18 doubles, 15 home runs and 36 walks.

Learn more about this Reds vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Pirates have a record of 3-3.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Pirates and their opponents are 5-5-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Pirates have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Bryan Reynolds has driven in the most runs for the Pirates with 78 runs batted in.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Reynolds' home run total ranks 65th and his RBI tally ranks 52nd.
• Ke'Bryan Hayes has a club-leading .277 batting average.
• Hayes ranks 155th overall in home runs and 113th in RBI this season.
• Jack Suwinski has 25 home runs, tops in the clubhouse.
• Connor Joe is hitting .241 with 28 doubles, four triples, 11 home runs and 46 walks.