Reds vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 11

The Cincinnati Reds and Philadelphia Phillies will play on Monday at Great American Ball Park, at 6:10 p.m. ET, with Elly De La Cruz and Trea Turner among those expected to produce at the plate. The favored Reds have -125 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Phillies, who are listed at +105. Cincinnati is a 1.5-run favorite (at +158 odds). The total is 9.5 runs for this game.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Reds-Phillies game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Reds vs. Phillies Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, August 11, 2025 at 6:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
• How to watch on TV: FDSOH and NBCS-PH

Reds vs. Phillies Prediction

• Score Prediction: Reds 5, Phillies 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Reds 51%, Phillies 49%

Reds vs. Phillies Betting Insights

• The Reds have won 27, or 51.9%, of the 52 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Cincinnati has a record of 18-16, a 52.9% win rate, when favored by -125 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The implied probability of a win from the Reds, based on the moneyline, is 55.6%.
• The Phillies have come away with nine wins in the 23 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Philadelphia has a win-loss record of 8-7 when favored by +105 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 48.8% chance of pulling out a win.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

• The Reds were the moneyline favorite in four of their last 10 games, and they finished 2-2 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Reds and their opponents combined to go over the total three times.
• The Reds' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Reds Recent Stats

Reds Player Insights

• De La Cruz leads the Reds with 19 home runs and 74 runs batted in, while accumulating a team-high batting average of .277.
• Of all hitters in MLB, De La Cruz's home run total ranks him 44th, and his RBI tally ranks him 16th.
• TJ Friedl is hitting .273 with 17 doubles, two triples, 10 home runs and 57 walks.
• Among all MLB batters, Friedl ranks 151st in homers and 166th in RBI.
• Spencer Steer is batting .241 with 16 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 32 walks.
• Steer is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .333 with a double, two home runs and eight RBIs.
• Matt McLain is hitting .226 with 12 doubles, 11 home runs and 42 walks.

Reds Team Props

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies have been underdogs once in the past 10 games and won that contest.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Phillies and their opponents are 5-5-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Phillies have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Kyle Schwarber paces the Phillies with 41 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 95.
• Among all batters in MLB, Schwarber is second in home runs and second in RBI.
• Turner's .282 batting average leads his team.
• Turner is 119th among all hitters in the majors in home runs, and 86th in RBI.
• Bryce Harper has 26 doubles, 17 home runs and 50 walks while hitting .260.
• Nick Castellanos is batting .261 with 23 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 23 walks.

Phillies Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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