Reds vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 7

Elly De La Cruz and the Cincinnati Reds will meet Juan Soto and the New York Mets on Sunday at Great American Ball Park, at 1:40 p.m. ET. The Reds are listed as -120 moneyline favorites for this matchup with the Mets (+100). New York is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under for the game has been listed at 8.5 runs.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Reds-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mets vs. Reds Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the New York Mets and the Cincinnati Reds.

Reds vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, September 7, 2025 at 1:40 p.m. ET
• Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
• How to watch on TV: MLB Network, FDSOH, and WPIX

Reds vs. Mets Prediction

• Score Prediction: Reds 5, Mets 4
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Reds 52%, Mets 48%

Reds vs. Mets Betting Insights

• This season, the Reds have been favored 61 times and won 32, or 52.5%, of those games.
• Cincinnati has a record of 26-23, a 53.1% win rate, when favored by -120 or more by bookmakers this season.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Reds have a 54.5% chance to win.
• The Mets have been chosen as underdogs in 41 games this year and have walked away with the win 18 times (43.9%) in those games.
• This season, New York has come away with a win 10 times in 25 chances when named as an underdog of at least +100 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Mets have an implied victory probability of 50% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

• The Reds played as the moneyline favorite in four of their last 10 games, and they went 2-2 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Reds combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total five times.
• The Reds' record against the spread is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Reds Recent Stats

Reds Player Insights

• De La Cruz is the Reds best power option, connecting on 19 home runs this season in addition to collecting 79 RBI, both team highs.
• Among all hitters in the majors, De La Cruz ranks 71st in home runs and 30th in RBI.
• TJ Friedl is hitting .266 with 20 doubles, two triples, 11 home runs and 69 walks.
• Friedl is 169th in homers and 170th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Friedl carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .286 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and three RBIs.
• Spencer Steer is hitting .239 with 20 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 45 walks.
• Steer will look to build on his three-game hitting in this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .385 with a double, four walks and an RBI.
• Austin Hays has 15 doubles, five triples, 14 home runs and 27 walks while hitting .262.
• Hays is riding a four-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .227 with a double, two home runs and five RBIs.

Reds Team Props

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets are not favored for the first time in a while, as they have not been underdogs in their last 10 games.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents are 5-4-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Mets have won four of their last 10 games against the spread.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Soto has swatted a team-leading 37 long balls.
• In all of the big leagues, Soto is seventh in homers and 12th in RBI.
• Soto carries an eight-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is hitting .417 with a double, a triple, five home runs, 10 walks and 14 RBIs.
• Francisco Lindor has a club-best .270 batting average.
• Lindor is 33rd in home runs and 38th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Pete Alonso has a team-high 113 runs batted in.
• Brandon Nimmo is hitting .265 with 27 doubles, 22 home runs and 47 walks.

Mets Team Props

Mets vs. Reds Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the New York Mets and the Cincinnati Reds.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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