Reds vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 9

The Miami Marlins and Otto Lopez take the field against Gavin Lux and the Cincinnati Reds on Wednesday at Great American Ball Park. The Reds are favored in this one, at -143, while the underdog Marlins have +121 odds to win. Cincinnati is a 1.5-run favorite (at +145 odds). The total is 9 runs for the contest.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Reds-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Check out the best moments between Miami Marlins and Cincinnati Reds.

Reds vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, July 9, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
• How to watch on TV: FDSOH and FDSFL

Reds vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Reds 5, Marlins 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Reds 55%, Marlins 45%

Reds vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• The Reds have entered the game as favorites 38 times this season and won 18, or 47.4%, of those games.
• Cincinnati has a record of 6-6, a 50% win rate, when favored by -143 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The Reds have a 58.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Marlins have been underdogs in 79 games this season and have come away with the win 37 times (46.8%) in those contests.
• Miami has a mark of 26-30 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +121 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 45.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

• The Reds have a 1-3 record from the four games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Reds and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Reds' ATS record is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Reds Recent Stats

Reds Player Insights

• Elly De La Cruz paces the Reds with 18 home runs and 60 runs batted in.
• De La Cruz is 22nd in homers and 12th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• TJ Friedl is batting .278 to lead his team.
• Friedl is 144th in home runs and 145th in RBI among all MLB batters this season.
• Spencer Steer is batting .252 with 15 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 23 walks.
• Lux has 16 doubles, a triple, four home runs and 38 walks while batting .261.

Reds Team Props

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• The Marlins have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won seven of those contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Marlins and their opponents are 4-6-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• Over their last 10 games, the Marlins are 9-1-0 against the spread.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Lopez is batting .249 with nine doubles, nine home runs and 27 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .319.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Lopez's home run total is 129th and his RBI tally is 70th.
• Kyle Stowers has hit 16 home runs with 48 runs batted in, leading the team in both categories.
• Stowers is currently 34th in home runs and 54th in RBI in the big leagues.
• Agustin Ramirez is batting .249 with 18 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 18 walks.
• Xavier Edwards leads the Marlins with a team-high batting average of .289.

Marlins Team Props

Marlins vs. Reds Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between Miami Marlins and Cincinnati Reds.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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