Reds vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 7

The Cincinnati Reds will look to Spencer Steer for continued offensive production when they take the field against Kyle Stowers and the Miami Marlins on Monday. The Marlins have been listed as +116 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the Reds (-137). Cincinnati (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The total is 9 runs for the matchup (with -115 odds on the over and -106 odds on the under).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Reds-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Reds vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between Cincinnati Reds and Philadelphia Phillies.

Reds vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, July 7, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
• How to watch on TV: FDSOH and FDSFL

Reds vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Reds 5, Marlins 4
• Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Reds 55%, Marlins 45%

Reds vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• This season, the Reds have won 18 out of the 36 games, or 50%, in which they've been favored.
• This season Cincinnati has won six of its 13 games, or 46.2%, when favored by at least -137 on the moneyline.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 57.8% chance of a victory for the Reds.
• The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 77 games this year and have walked away with the win 35 times (45.5%) in those games.
• This year, Miami has won 28 of 61 games when listed as at least +116 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 46.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

• Over the last 10 games, the Reds have been named the moneyline favorite by bookmakers only twice, and they split those games.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Reds and their opponents combined to hit the over four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Reds have gone 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Reds Recent Stats

Reds Player Insights

• Elly De La Cruz has gone yard 18 times in the 2025 campaign while driving in 60 runs, both totals that lead the Reds.
• In all of the majors, De La Cruz ranks 20th in homers and 12th in RBI.
• TJ Friedl's .280 batting average is a team-high mark.
• Friedl is 143rd in homers and 140th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Steer has 15 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 23 walks while batting .253.
• Gavin Lux is batting .266 with 16 doubles, a triple, four home runs and 36 walks.

Reds Team Props

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• The Marlins have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won seven of those contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Marlins and their opponents are 5-5-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Marlins have nine wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Otto Lopez is hitting .250 with nine doubles, nine home runs and 27 walks.
• Among all batters in the majors, Lopez is 127th in homers and 66th in RBI.
• Stowers proven to be a run producer as he leads his team with 16 home runs and 46 runs batted in, with a team-leading .280 batting average.
• Stowers is 33rd in home runs and 57th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Agustin Ramirez is batting .241 with 15 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 17 walks.
• Xavier Edwards paces the Marlins with a .280 batting average.

Marlins Team Props

Reds vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between Cincinnati Reds and Philadelphia Phillies.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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