Red Sox vs. Tigers Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 12

Wilyer Abreu and the Boston Red Sox will hit the field against the Detroit Tigers and Riley Greene at Comerica Park on Monday at 6:40 p.m. ET. The Red Sox have been listed as -117 moneyline favorites for this matchup with the Tigers (-102). Boston is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The game's over/under has been set at 8.5 runs.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Tigers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Red Sox vs. Tigers Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, May 12, 2025 at 6:40 p.m. ET
• Where: Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan
• How to watch on TV: MLB Network, FDSDET, and NESN

Red Sox vs. Tigers Prediction

• Score Prediction: Tigers 5, Red Sox 3
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Red Sox 57%, Tigers 43%

Red Sox vs. Tigers Betting Insights

• This season, the Red Sox have been favored 31 times and won 17, or 54.8%, of those games.
• Boston has entered 27 games this season favored by -117 or more and is 17-10 in those contests.
• The Red Sox have a 53.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Tigers have come away with eight wins in the 17 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Detroit has been victorious seven times in 14 chances when named as an underdog of at least -102 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 50.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox were the moneyline favorite for seven of their last 10 games, and they went 3-4 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Red Sox and their opponents combined to go over the run total three times.
• The Red Sox have a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Alexander Bregman paces the Red Sox with 31 runs batted in while racking up a team-best batting average of .311.
• Of all hitters in baseball, Bregman's home run total ranks him 14th, and his RBI tally puts him 10th.
• Abreu has hit 10 home runs to lead his team.
• Abreu ranks seventh in home runs and 20th in RBI among all major league batters this year.
• Rafael Devers has driven in a team-high 31 runs batted in.
• Devers has at least one base hit in four straight games. In his last five games he is batting .500 with a double, two home runs, four walks and eight RBIs.
• Jarren Duran is hitting .256 with nine doubles, four triples, two home runs and 10 walks.
• Duran has recorded at least one hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .190 with two RBIs.

Red Sox Team Props

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

• Over the past 10 games, the Tigers have been underdogs just once and lost that contest.
• The Tigers and their opponents have combined to hit the over seven times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Tigers are 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Tigers Recent Stats

Tigers Player Insights

• Spencer Torkelson leads the Tigers with 10 home runs and runs batted in, driving in 33.
• Among all batters in MLB, Torkelson's home run total ranks seventh and his RBI tally is fourth.
• Kerry Carpenter is hitting .284 to lead the lineup.
• Among all major league hitters, Carpenter ranks 14th in homers and 55th in RBI.
• Gleyber Torres is hitting .284 with five doubles, four home runs and 11 walks.
• Greene is batting .257 with six doubles, nine home runs and 12 walks.

Tigers Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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