Red Sox vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 1

The Cincinnati Reds and Elly De La Cruz take the field in the second game of a three-game series against Wilyer Abreu and the Boston Red Sox on Tuesday at Fenway Park. The Red Sox have been listed as -118 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Reds (-102). Cincinnati is a 1.5-run favorite (at +151 odds). The over/under for the game is set at 10 runs.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Reds game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Reds vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Cincinnati Reds and the Boston Red Sox.

Red Sox vs. Reds Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, July 1, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to watch on TV: NESN and FDSOH

Red Sox vs. Reds Prediction

• Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Reds 4
• Total Prediction: Under 10 runs
• Win Probabilities: Red Sox 52%, Reds 48%

Red Sox vs. Reds Betting Insights

• The Red Sox have been favorites in 51 games this season and won 26 (51%) of those contests.
• Boston has a record of 24-19 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -118 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Red Sox, based on the moneyline, is 54.1%.
• The Reds have been underdogs in 48 games this season and have come away with the win 25 times (52.1%) in those contests.
• Cincinnati has a mark of 19-20 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by -102 or worse on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Reds have a 50.5% chance of pulling out a win.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox were the moneyline favorite for four of their last 10 games, and finished 1-3 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Red Sox and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Red Sox are 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Jarren Duran is hitting .253 with 20 doubles, nine triples, six home runs and 26 walks.
• Of all hitters in the majors, Duran's home run total ranks him 179th, and his RBI tally ranks him 77th.
• Duran takes a hitting streak of two games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .167 with a triple, a home run, four walks and an RBI.
• Abreu has shown off his power as he paces his team with 16 home runs with a team-leading .256 batting average.
• Abreu ranks 26th in home runs and 41st in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has 15 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 15 walks while batting .254.
• Rafaela is on a four-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .278 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and three RBIs.
• Trevor Story has racked up 46 runs batted in to pace his team.
• Story is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and seven RBIs.

Red Sox Team Props

Reds Recent Betting Performance

• In seven games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Reds had a record of 3-4.
• The Reds and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times in their last 10 games with a total.
• Over their last 10 games, the Reds are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Reds Recent Stats

Reds Player Insights

• De La Cruz has a team-leading 18 home runs and has driven in 57 runs.
• Among all hitters in the majors, De La Cruz's home run total is 15th and his RBI tally is 12th.
• TJ Friedl's .283 batting average leads his team.
• Friedl is 134th in homers and 132nd in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Spencer Steer has 13 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 21 walks while batting .250.
• Gavin Lux is hitting .267 with 15 doubles, a triple, four home runs and 33 walks.

Reds Team Props

Reds vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Cincinnati Reds and the Boston Red Sox.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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