Red Sox vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 17

Updated Apr. 17, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

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Triston Casas and the Boston Red Sox hit the field on Wednesday at Fenway Park against Ben Lively, who is starting for the Cleveland Guardians. First pitch will be at 7:10 PM ET. The favored Red Sox have -132 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Guardians, who are listed at +112. Boston is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total for the matchup has been set at 8.5 runs.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Guardians game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Red Sox vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, April 17, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to Watch on TV: BSGL

Red Sox vs. Guardians Prediction

• Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Red Sox 4
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Red Sox 51%, Guardians 49%

Red Sox vs. Guardians Betting Insights

• This season, the Red Sox have been favored 10 times and won six of those games.
• Boston has entered five games this season favored by -132 or more and is 4-1 in those contests.
• The Red Sox have a 56.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Guardians have come away with seven wins in the eight contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Cleveland has not lost in four games this year when given odds of +112 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 47.2% chance of pulling out a win.

FINAL

CLE 0 · BOS 2

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Cleveland Guardians

CLE

+1.5

+112

o8.5

Boston Red Sox

BOS

-1.5

-133

u8.5

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox played as the moneyline favorite for six of their last 10 games, and finished 2-4 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Red Sox and their opponents combined to hit the over four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Red Sox have gone 2-8-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• The Red Sox leader in both batting average and home runs is Tyler O'Neill, who comes into the game hitting .313 and has left the yard seven times while driving in eight runs this season.
• In all of the majors, O'Neill ranks second in homers and 86th in RBI.
• O'Neill carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with a home run, four walks and two RBI.
• Casas has made the most of his opportunities as he leads his team with nine runs batted in.
• Casas is ninth in home runs and 74th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Jarren Duran has four doubles, a home run and six walks while batting .293.
• Duran will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is hitting .167 with two doubles, four walks and an RBI.
• Rafael Devers has three doubles, two home runs and nine walks while hitting .205.
• Devers has recorded at least one hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .200 with a double, a home run, five walks and three RBI.

Red Sox Team Props

Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Guardians matchup on Fox Sports.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

• The Guardians have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won five of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Guardians and their opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Guardians have a record of 6-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Guardians Player Insights

• Josh Naylor leads the Guardians with four long balls.
• Naylor's home run total places him 21st in the big leagues, and he ranks 34th in RBI.
• Naylor brings a hitting streak of four games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .316 with a double, a home run, three walks and three RBI.
• Jose Ramirez has collected 15 runs batted in to pace his team.
• Ramirez is currently 42nd in home runs and 11th in RBI in the big leagues.
• Steven Kwan leads the Guardians' lineup with a .372 batting average.
• Andres Gimenez has five doubles, a triple and four walks while hitting .288.

Guardians Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox - 04/17/2024