Red Sox vs. Braves Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 16

The Boston Red Sox and Rafael Devers will square off against the Atlanta Braves and Michael Harris II on Friday at 7:10 p.m. ET, at Fenway Park. The favored Red Sox have -114 moneyline odds against the underdog Braves, who are listed at -105. Atlanta is a 1.5-run favorite (at +161 odds). The matchup's total has been listed at 8 runs.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Braves game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Red Sox vs. Braves Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, May 16, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to watch on TV: MLB Network, NESN, and FDSSO

Red Sox vs. Braves Prediction

• Score Prediction: Red Sox 4, Braves 3
• Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Red Sox 54%, Braves 46%

Red Sox vs. Braves Betting Insights

• The Red Sox have been favorites in 32 games this season and won 17 (53.1%) of those contests.
• Boston is 17-14 this season when entering a game favored by -114 or more on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.3% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
• The Braves have come away with three wins in the 10 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This year, Atlanta has won three of 10 games when listed as at least -105 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 51.2% chance of pulling out a win.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox have a 2-3 record from the five games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Red Sox and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times.
• The Red Sox's record against the spread is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Alexander Bregman has a team-best batting average of .314, and leads the Red Sox in home runs (11) and runs batted in (33).
• Bregman is ninth in home runs and eighth in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Bregman has collected a hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .300 with two home runs, three walks and three RBIs.
• Wilyer Abreu has hit 11 home runs to lead his team.
• Abreu is ninth in home runs and 26th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Devers is batting .278 with 12 doubles, seven home runs and 33 walks.
• Jarren Duran has 10 doubles, four triples, two home runs and 10 walks while batting .253.
• Duran takes a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .261 with a double and three RBIs.

Red Sox Team Props

Braves Recent Betting Performance

• The Braves are not favored for the first time in a while, as they have not been underdogs in their last 10 games.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Braves and their opponents have combined to hit the over just once.
• The Braves have a record of 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Braves Player Insights

• Marcell Ozuna has six doubles, six home runs and 36 walks while hitting .264.
• Ozuna ranks 67th in home runs and 107th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Matt Olson is batting .214 with six doubles, seven home runs and 29 walks.
• Among all MLB batters, Olson is 48th in homers and 72nd in RBI.
• Austin Riley leads the Braves in long balls (eight), runs batted in (26) and has posted a team-best batting average of .286.
• Ozzie Albies has four doubles, five home runs and 13 walks while batting .217.

Braves Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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