Rays vs. Astros Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 19

Chandler Simpson and the Tampa Bay Rays take the field on Monday at George M. Steinbrenner Field against Colton Gordon, who is starting for the Houston Astros. First pitch is at 7:05 p.m. ET. The Astros have been listed as +121 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the favorite Rays (-143). Tampa Bay is a 1.5-run favorite (at +140 odds). The over/under is 9 runs for this game.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Rays-Astros game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Keep up with MLB on FOX Sports.

Rays vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Miami Marlins.

Rays vs. Astros Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, May 19, 2025 at 7:05 p.m. ET
• Where: George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, Florida
• How to watch on TV: FDSSUN and SCHN

Rays vs. Astros Prediction

• Score Prediction: Astros 5, Rays 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Rays 50%, Astros 50%

Rays vs. Astros Betting Insights

• The Rays have been favorites in 25 games this season and won 11 (44%) of those contests.
• This season Tampa Bay has won six of its 12 games, or 50%, when favored by at least -143 on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 58.8% chance of a victory for the Rays.
• The Astros have won in six, or 42.9%, of the 14 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• Houston has been listed as an underdog of +121 or more on two occasions this season and split those games.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Astros have a 45.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

• The Rays played as the moneyline favorite for five of their last 10 games, and they went 2-3 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Rays and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times.
• The Rays have a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Rays Player Insights

• Yandy Diaz has put up a team-high 24 runs batted in.
• Among all hitters in baseball, Diaz's home run total ranks him 79th, and his RBI tally puts him 59th.
• Diaz carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .200 with a walk and four RBIs.
• Jonathan Aranda has a club-leading .312 batting average.
• Aranda is 79th in homers and 87th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Junior Caminero paces the Rays with eight home runs.
• Brandon Lowe has put up 24 runs batted in to lead his team.
• Lowe has recorded at least one hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .350 with a double, two home runs, two walks and four RBIs.

Rays Team Props

Astros Recent Betting Performance

• In three games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Astros had a record of 1-2.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Astros and their opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.
• The Astros have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Astros Recent Stats

Astros Player Insights

• Jeremy Pena leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .299.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Pena ranks 79th in homers and 70th in RBI.
• Isaac Paredes has hit seven home runs with 24 runs batted in, leading the team in both categories.
• Paredes ranks 58th in home runs and 59th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Jake Meyers is hitting .293 with six doubles, a triple, two home runs and 14 walks.
• Jose Altuve is hitting .241 with six doubles, four home runs and 14 walks.

Astros Team Props

Astros vs. Rangers Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Houston Astros and the Texas Rangers.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience

Tampa Bay Rays

Houston Astros