Pirates vs. Cardinals Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 1

Andre Pallante will look to slow down Oneil Cruz and the Pittsburgh Pirates when they take on his St. Louis Cardinals on Tuesday at 6:40 p.m. ET. The Cardinals are +131 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the Pirates (-157). Pittsburgh is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total for the game has been set at 7 runs.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Pirates-Cardinals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Pirates vs. Cardinals Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, July 1, 2025 at 6:40 p.m. ET
• Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• How to watch on TV: SportsNet PT and FDSMW

Pirates vs. Cardinals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Pirates 5, Cardinals 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
• Win Probabilities: Pirates 51%, Cardinals 49%

Pirates vs. Cardinals Betting Insights

• The Pirates have been favorites in 24 games this season and won 11 (45.8%) of those contests.
• Pittsburgh has entered four games this season favored by -157 or more and is 2-2 in those contests.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 61.1% chance of a victory for the Pirates.
• The Cardinals have won in 25, or 53.2%, of the 47 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• St. Louis has a win-loss record of 4-9 when favored by +131 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cardinals have a 43.3% chance of pulling out a win.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• In the last 10 games, the Pirates have been named the moneyline favorite by oddsmakers just two times, and they won both games.
• Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Pirates and their opponents combined to go over the total eight times.
• The Pirates have gone 7-3-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Cruz's 15 dingers in 2025 are the most on the Pirates. He's also knocked in 35 runs while hitting .212.
• Cruz ranks 31st in home runs and 102nd in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Cruz carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .222 with two home runs, three walks and four RBIs.
• Bryan Reynolds has been productive as he paces his team with 45 runs batted in.
• Reynolds is 92nd in homers and 41st in RBI in the major leagues.
• Reynolds carries an eight-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last 10 outings he is batting .375 with six doubles, two home runs, a walk and six RBIs.
• Andrew McCutchen has accumulated a team-best batting average of .267.
• McCutchen is on a five-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .368 with a double, two walks and three RBIs.
• Ke'Bryan Hayes has seven doubles, two triples, two home runs and 17 walks while batting .246.
• Hayes is riding a nine-game hitting streak into this one. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .378 with three doubles, two walks and 10 RBIs.

Pirates Team Props

Cardinals Recent Betting Performance

• The Cardinals have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Cardinals and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
• The Cardinals have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Cardinals Recent Stats

Cardinals Player Insights

• Brendan Donovan leads the Cardinals with a team-leading batting average of .295.
• Donovan ranks 179th in homers and 132nd in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Nolan Arenado is batting .247 with 13 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 24 walks.
• Among all MLB hitters, Arenado ranks 92nd in homers and 68th in RBI.
• Willson Contreras has been a significant run producer for the Cardinals with 11 home runs and 51 runs batted in.
• Masyn Winn has 15 doubles, seven home runs and 25 walks while hitting .263.

Cardinals Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Pittsburgh Pirates

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