Phillies vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 20

Phillies vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 20

Updated Jun. 20, 2025 7:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Juan Soto and the New York Mets hit the field on Friday at Citizens Bank Park against Zack Wheeler, who is the named starter for the Philadelphia Phillies. First pitch is at 7:15 p.m. ET. The Phillies are the favorite in this one, at -198, while the underdog Mets have +165 odds to win. Philadelphia is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). An 8.5-run over/under is listed in the contest.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Phillies vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

  • When: Friday, June 20, 2025 at 7:15 p.m. ET
  • Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • How to watch on TV: Apple TV+
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies -198 +165 8.5 -121 +100 -1.5 +106 -126

Phillies vs. Mets Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Mets 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Phillies 52%, Mets 48%

Phillies vs. Mets Betting Insights

  • This season, the Phillies have been favored 62 times and won 40, or 64.5%, of those games.
  • Philadelphia has a record of 14-2, a 87.5% win rate, when favored by -198 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The Phillies have a 66.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Mets have won in nine, or 42.9%, of the 21 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • New York has played as an underdog of +165 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 37.7% chance of walking away with the win.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

  • The Phillies went 8-1 over the nine games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups, the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the run total three times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Phillies are 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 5.1
HR 12
ERA 2.97
K/9 8

Phillies Player Insights

  • Kyle Schwarber has put up a team-high 23 home runs and 54 runs batted in.
  • In all of the majors, Schwarber is fourth in home runs and 10th in RBI.
  • Trea Turner's .300 batting average leads his team.
  • Turner is 83rd in homers and 83rd in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
  • Alec Bohm is hitting .291 with 11 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 14 walks.
  • Bohm will look to build on his five-game hitting in this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .450 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and five RBIs.
  • Nick Castellanos is batting .277 with 18 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 16 walks.

Phillies Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Nick Castellanos 0.5 (-260) 1.5 (+110) - 0.5 (+150)
Max Kepler 0.5 (-180) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+145)
Kyle Schwarber 0.5 (-180) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+130)
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+170)
Trea Turner 1.5 (+165) 1.5 (-105) - 0.5 (+150)

Mets Recent Betting Performance

  • In three games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Mets have a record of 0-3.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents are 6-4-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Mets have a record of 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 16
ERA 4.64
K/9 7.1

Mets Player Insights

  • Soto is batting .248 with 14 doubles, 14 home runs and 61 walks.
  • Soto is 24th in home runs and 66th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Pete Alonso has hit 17 home runs with 63 runs batted in while batting .291. Those numbers are pace the clubhouse.
  • Alonso ranks 11th in home runs and first in RBI among all MLB batters this year.
  • Francisco Lindor is batting .268 with 13 doubles, 14 home runs and 28 walks.
  • Brandon Nimmo is batting .242 with 13 doubles, 13 home runs and 23 walks.

Mets Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Pete Alonso 0.5 (-195) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+150)
Francisco Lindor 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+165)
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+160)
Tyrone Taylor 0.5 (-135) 0.5 (-140) - 0.5 (+300)
Luis Torrens 0.5 (-155) 0.5 (-155) - 0.5 (+260)

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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