Phillies vs. Diamondbacks NLCS Game 7 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 24

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks NLCS Game 7 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 24

Updated Oct. 24, 2023 8:00 p.m. ET

It all comes down to Game 7 of the NLCS on Tuesday, when the Philadelphia Phillies play host to the Arizona Diamondbacks. The teams will battle for a spot in the World Series when the game gets underway at 8:07 PM ET on TBS, live from Citizens Bank Park. The favored Phillies have -170 moneyline odds against the underdog Diamondbacks, who are listed at +144. Philadelphia is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 8 runs for the contest (with -112 odds to go over and -108 odds on the under).

The probable pitchers are Ranger Suarez (4-6, 4.18 ERA) for the Phillies against Brandon Pfaadt (3-9, 5.72 ERA) for the Diamondbacks.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Diamondbacks game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Tuesday, October 24, 2023 at 8:07 PM ET
  • Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • How to Watch on TV: TBS
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies -170 +144 8 -112 -108 -1.5 +124 -147

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Diamondbacks 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Phillies 56%, Diamondbacks 44%

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

  • This season, the Phillies have won 72 out of the 120 games, or 60%, in which they've been favored.
  • Philadelphia has a record of 25-15 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -170 on the moneyline.
  • The Phillies have a 63% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Diamondbacks have been underdogs in 98 games this season and have come away with the win 49 times (50%) in those contests.
  • Arizona has a win-loss record of 10-10 when favored by +144 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 41% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

  • The Phillies have a 4-3 record across the seven games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Phillies combined with their opponents to go over the run total five times.
  • The Phillies have put together a 7-3-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 21
ERA 2.27
K/9 9.6

Phillies Player Insights

  • Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with 47 homers on the year. He's also hitting .197 with 104 RBI.
  • Including all MLB batters, Schwarber ranks 134th in batting average, 46th in on-base percentage, and 39th in slugging.
  • Trea Turner is hitting .266 with 35 doubles, five triples, 26 home runs and 45 walks.
  • Turner ranks 38th in home runs and 66th in RBI on the season.
  • Alec Bohm is batting .274 with 31 doubles, 20 home runs and 42 walks.
  • Bryce Harper is batting .293 to lead his team.

Phillies Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Trea Turner 1.5 (+205) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+300) 0.5 (+155)
Bryce Harper 0.5 (-208) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+310) 0.5 (+165)
Alec Bohm 0.5 (-278) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+155)
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 (-179) 0.5 (-179) 0.5 (+360) 0.5 (+170)
Johan Rojas 0.5 (-135) 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (+950) 0.5 (+320)

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Diamondbacks matchup on Fox Sports.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

  • In 10 games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Diamondbacks have a record of 7-3.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Diamondbacks and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
  • The Diamondbacks have a record of 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 15
ERA 3.38
K/9 8.2

Diamondbacks Player Insights

  • Corbin Carroll leads the Diamondbacks with a .285 batting average.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Carroll's home run total is 46th and his RBI tally ranks 66th.
  • Christian Walker has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 33 home runs and 103 RBI.
  • Walker is 16th among all hitters in MLB in home runs, and 12th in RBI.
  • Ketel Marte is hitting .276 with 26 doubles, nine triples, 25 home runs and 71 walks.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has 35 doubles, two triples, 24 home runs and 33 walks while batting .261.

Diamondbacks Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Ketel Marte 1.5 (+200) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+180)
Gabriel Moreno 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+160) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+215)
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+185)
Tommy Pham 0.5 (-200) 0.5 (-200) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+205)
Corbin Carroll 0.5 (-227) 0.5 (-227) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+250)
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