Data Skrive
It all comes down to Game 7 of the NLCS on Tuesday, when the Philadelphia Phillies play host to the Arizona Diamondbacks. The teams will battle for a spot in the World Series when the game gets underway at 8:07 PM ET on TBS, live from Citizens Bank Park. The favored Phillies have -170 moneyline odds against the underdog Diamondbacks, who are listed at +144. Philadelphia is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 8 runs for the contest (with -112 odds to go over and -108 odds on the under).
The probable pitchers are Ranger Suarez (4-6, 4.18 ERA) for the Phillies against Brandon Pfaadt (3-9, 5.72 ERA) for the Diamondbacks.
Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Diamondbacks game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.
Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds
- When: Tuesday, October 24, 2023 at 8:07 PM ET
- Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
- How to Watch on TV: TBS
Favorite |
Favorite Moneyline |
Underdog Moneyline |
Total |
Over Total Odds |
Under Total Odds |
Run Line |
Favorite Run Line Odds |
Underdog Run Line Odds |
Phillies |
-170 |
+144 |
8 |
-112 |
-108 |
-1.5 |
+124 |
-147 |
Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Prediction
- Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Diamondbacks 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
- Win Probabilities: Phillies 56%, Diamondbacks 44%
Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights
- This season, the Phillies have won 72 out of the 120 games, or 60%, in which they've been favored.
- Philadelphia has a record of 25-15 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -170 on the moneyline.
- The Phillies have a 63% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- The Diamondbacks have been underdogs in 98 games this season and have come away with the win 49 times (50%) in those contests.
- Arizona has a win-loss record of 10-10 when favored by +144 or worse by bookmakers this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 41% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
Phillies Recent Betting Performance
- The Phillies have a 4-3 record across the seven games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
- In their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Phillies combined with their opponents to go over the run total five times.
- The Phillies have put together a 7-3-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.
Phillies Recent Stats
Stat |
Avg/Total |
Record |
6-4 |
Runs Per Game |
4.8 |
HR |
21 |
ERA |
2.27 |
K/9 |
9.6 |
Phillies Player Insights
- Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with 47 homers on the year. He's also hitting .197 with 104 RBI.
- Including all MLB batters, Schwarber ranks 134th in batting average, 46th in on-base percentage, and 39th in slugging.
- Trea Turner is hitting .266 with 35 doubles, five triples, 26 home runs and 45 walks.
- Turner ranks 38th in home runs and 66th in RBI on the season.
- Alec Bohm is batting .274 with 31 doubles, 20 home runs and 42 walks.
- Bryce Harper is batting .293 to lead his team.
Phillies Team Props
|
Hits O/U |
Total Bases O/U |
HR O/U |
RBI O/U |
Trea Turner |
1.5 (+205) |
1.5 (-105) |
0.5 (+300) |
0.5 (+155) |
Bryce Harper |
0.5 (-208) |
1.5 (+120) |
0.5 (+310) |
0.5 (+165) |
Alec Bohm |
0.5 (-278) |
1.5 (+120) |
0.5 (+550) |
0.5 (+155) |
J.T. Realmuto |
0.5 (-179) |
0.5 (-179) |
0.5 (+360) |
0.5 (+170) |
Johan Rojas |
0.5 (-135) |
0.5 (-145) |
0.5 (+950) |
0.5 (+320) |
Learn more about this Phillies vs. Diamondbacks matchup on Fox Sports.
Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance
- In 10 games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Diamondbacks have a record of 7-3.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Diamondbacks and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
- The Diamondbacks have a record of 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Diamondbacks Recent Stats
Stat |
Avg/Total |
Record |
7-3 |
Runs Per Game |
4.1 |
HR |
15 |
ERA |
3.38 |
K/9 |
8.2 |
Diamondbacks Player Insights
- Corbin Carroll leads the Diamondbacks with a .285 batting average.
- Among all hitters in the majors, Carroll's home run total is 46th and his RBI tally ranks 66th.
- Christian Walker has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 33 home runs and 103 RBI.
- Walker is 16th among all hitters in MLB in home runs, and 12th in RBI.
- Ketel Marte is hitting .276 with 26 doubles, nine triples, 25 home runs and 71 walks.
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has 35 doubles, two triples, 24 home runs and 33 walks while batting .261.
Diamondbacks Team Props
|
Hits O/U |
Total Bases O/U |
HR O/U |
RBI O/U |
Ketel Marte |
1.5 (+200) |
1.5 (+105) |
0.5 (+500) |
0.5 (+180) |
Gabriel Moreno |
0.5 (-233) |
1.5 (+160) |
0.5 (+800) |
0.5 (+215) |
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. |
0.5 (-238) |
1.5 (+140) |
0.5 (+600) |
0.5 (+185) |
Tommy Pham |
0.5 (-200) |
0.5 (-200) |
0.5 (+600) |
0.5 (+205) |
Corbin Carroll |
0.5 (-227) |
0.5 (-227) |
0.5 (+800) |
0.5 (+250) |