The Chicago White Sox will look to Yoan Moncada for continued success at the plate when they take the field against Fernando Tatis Jr. and the San Diego Padres on Sunday, in the final game of a three-game series at Guaranteed Rate Field. The White Sox are +167 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favorite Padres (-201). San Diego is a 1.5-run favorite (at -129 odds). The over/under is 9.5 runs for the matchup.
The San Diego Padres will hand the ball to Pedro Avila (2-2, 3.57 ERA), who is looking for win No. 3 on the season, and the White Sox will counter with Jose Urena (0-7, 7.45 ERA).
Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-White Sox game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.
Padres vs. White Sox Game Information & Odds
When: Sunday, October 1, 2023 at 3:10 PM ET
Where: Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, Illinois
How to Watch on TV: NBCS-CHI
Favorite
Favorite Moneyline
Underdog Moneyline
Total
Over Total Odds
Under Total Odds
Run Line
Favorite Run Line Odds
Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres
-201
+167
9.5
-104
-115
-1.5
-129
+108
Padres vs. White Sox Prediction
Score Prediction: Padres 7, White Sox 6
Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Padres 54%, White Sox 46%
Padres vs. White Sox Betting Insights
The Padres have won 67, or 55.8%, of the 120 games they've played as favorites this season.
San Diego has a record of 15-8 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -201 on the moneyline.
The Padres have a 66.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The White Sox have been underdogs in 114 games this season and have come away with the win 37 times (32.5%) in those contests.
This season, Chicago has been victorious four times in 12 chances when named as an underdog of at least +167 or worse on the moneyline.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the White Sox have a 37.5% chance of pulling out a win.
Padres Recent Betting Performance
The Padres have a 7-2 record across the nine games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 matchups, the Padres and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total one time (all 10 games had set totals).
The Padres' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.
Padres Recent Stats
Stat
Avg/Total
Record
8-2
Runs Per Game
4.2
HR
8
ERA
1.66
K/9
8.8
Padres Player Insights
Juan Soto paces the Padres with 35 home runs and 109 runs batted in.
Of all hitters in baseball, Soto ranks 14th in homers and fourth in RBI.
Soto has collected a hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .316 with a double, two home runs, four walks and four RBI.
Tatis is hitting .260 with 33 doubles, a triple, 25 home runs and 53 walks.
Tatis is 45th in homers and 63rd in RBI on the season.
Xander Bogaerts has accumulated a team-best batting average of .285.
Bogaerts has at least one base hit in seven straight games. During his last 10 outings he is batting .357 with two doubles, a triple, a home run, two walks and seven RBI.
Manny Machado has 21 doubles, 30 home runs and 50 walks while hitting .258.
Machado has recorded at least one hit in five straight games. In his last five games he is batting .500 with two home runs, a walk and seven RBI.