Padres vs. Rockies Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 11

German Marquez will start for the Colorado Rockies aiming to shut down Manny Machado and the San Diego Padres on Sunday at 3:10 p.m. ET. The Rockies have been listed as +252 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the Padres (-314). San Diego is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with -218 odds). An 11.5-run over/under is listed for this game.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Padres-Rockies game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Padres vs. Rockies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the San Diego Padres and the Colorado Rockies.

Padres vs. Rockies Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, May 11, 2025 at 3:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Coors Field in Denver, Colorado
• How to watch on TV: COLR and SDPA

Padres vs. Rockies Prediction

• Score Prediction: Padres 7, Rockies 5
• Total Prediction: Over 11.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Padres 57%, Rockies 43%

Padres vs. Rockies Betting Insights

• The Padres have won 15, or 78.9%, of the 19 games they've played as favorites this season.
• San Diego has not entered a game this season with shorter moneyline odds than -314.
• The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 75.8%.
• The Rockies have been underdogs in 36 games this season and have come away with the win five times (13.9%) in those contests.
• Colorado has yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +252 or worse on the moneyline this season.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rockies have a 28.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres were the moneyline favorite in four of their last 10 games, and won all of them.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Padres combined with their opponents to go over the total six times.
• The Padres have put together a 9-1-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Fernando Tatis Jr. has gone yard nine times in the 2025 campaign while knocking in 22 runs, both totals that lead the Padres.
• Tatis ranks 12th in homers and 42nd in RBI among all batters in baseball.
• Tatis brings a hitting streak of four games into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .286 with a double, a home run, two walks and four RBIs.
• Machado has a club-leading .326 batting average.
• Machado ranks 148th in home runs in baseball, and 84th in RBI.
• Machado has 10 straight games with at least one hit. In his last 10 games he is hitting .474 with four doubles, a home run, five walks and seven RBIs.
• Luis Arraez is batting .298 with four doubles, two triples, three home runs and eight walks.
• Arraez is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .261 with a triple, three walks and three RBIs.
• Xander Bogaerts is batting .250 with nine doubles, two home runs and 17 walks.

Padres Team Props

Rockies Recent Betting Performance

• The Rockies have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and have gone 2-8 in those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Rockies and their opponents are 7-3-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Rockies are 2-8-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Rockies Recent Stats

Rockies Player Insights

• The Rockies are led in runs batted in by Hunter Goodman with a mark of 19, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .276.
• Among all batters in the majors, Goodman ranks 76th in homers and 71st in RBI.
• Goodman has collected a hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .286 with two doubles and two RBIs.
• Jordan Beck has put up a team-high six home runs.
• Among all MLB hitters, Beck is 54th in homers and 159th in RBI.
• Mickey Moniak is batting .217 with three doubles, four triples, three home runs and eight walks.
• Brenton Doyle has four doubles, four home runs and nine walks while hitting .222.

Rockies Team Props

Padres vs. Rockies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the San Diego Padres and the Colorado Rockies.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Colorado Rockies

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