Padres vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 22

Juan Soto and the San Diego Padres will play Luis Arraez and the Miami Marlins on Tuesday at PETCO Park, at 9:40 PM ET. The Marlins are listed as +148 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the Padres (-175). San Diego is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 7.5 runs for this matchup.

The San Diego Padres will give the start to Blake Snell (10-8, 2.71 ERA), who is looking for win No. 11 on the season, and the Marlins will turn to Jesus Luzardo (8-8, 4.13 ERA).

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Padres-Marlins game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Padres vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, August 22, 2023 at 9:40 PM ET
• Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
• How to Watch on TV: SDPA

Padres vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Padres 5, Marlins 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Padres 56%, Marlins 44%

Padres vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• This season, the Padres have been favored 96 times and won 50, or 52.1%, of those games.
• This season San Diego has won 20 of its 37 games, or 54.1%, when favored by at least -175 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 63.6% chance of a victory for the Padres.
• The Marlins have been victorious in 28, or 42.4%, of the 66 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This year, Miami has won six of 18 games when listed as at least +148 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 40.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres were the moneyline favorite in nine of their last 10 games, and went 4-5 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings, the Padres and their opponents combined to go over the run total three times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Padres have gone 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

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Padres Player Insights

• Soto is the Padres best power option, launching 24 homers this season in addition to delivering 75 RBI, both team highs.
• Among all hitters in baseball, Soto ranks 20th in home runs and 27th in RBI.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. is hitting .262 with 27 doubles, a triple, 20 home runs and 38 walks.
• Tatis is 43rd in homers and 49th in RBI in the majors.
• Ha-Seong Kim has put up a team-best batting average of .280.
• Manny Machado has hit 24 home runs to lead his team.

Padres Team Props

Learn more about this Padres vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• The Marlins have played as underdogs in eight of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
• The Marlins have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Arraez leads the team in batting average with a mark of .358.
• In all of the big leagues, Arraez is 276th in homers and 77th in RBI.
• Jorge Soler has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 32 home runs and 67 RBI.
• Soler is seventh in home runs and 40th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Josh Bell is hitting .245 with 22 doubles, 18 home runs and 50 walks.
• Bryan De La Cruz is hitting .257 with 28 doubles, 16 home runs and 34 walks.

Marlins Team Props

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