Mets vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 30

The Miami Marlins and Otto Lopez take the field against Pete Alonso and the New York Mets on Saturday at Citi Field. The favored Mets have -177 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Marlins, who are listed at +147. New York is a 1.5-run favorite (at +127 odds). A 7.5-run total is set for this game.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Marlins vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Miami Marlins and the New York Mets.

Mets vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, August 30, 2025 at 4:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to watch on TV: MLB Network, WPIX, and FDSFL

Mets vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Marlins 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 56%, Marlins 44%

Mets vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• This season, the Mets have been favored 94 times and won 55, or 58.5%, of those games.
• This season New York has won 24 of its 34 games, or 70.6%, when favored by at least -177 on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 63.9% chance to win.
• The Marlins have won in 53, or 46.9%, of the 113 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This season, Miami has come away with a win 14 times in 33 chances when named as an underdog of at least +147 or worse on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 40.5% chance of pulling out a win.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets went 3-4 across the seven games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total seven times.
• The Mets' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Juan Soto has hit a team-best 33 home runs.
• In all of MLB, Soto ranks seventh in home runs and 20th in RBI.
• Alonso has 110 runs batted in while hitting .269. Both lead his team.
• Alonso is ninth in homers and second in RBI in the majors.
• Alonso has five games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .478 with two doubles, two home runs, a walk and seven RBIs.
• Francisco Lindor has put up a team-high batting average of .269.
• Lindor is on a four-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .364 with a double, a walk and three RBIs.
• Brandon Nimmo is batting .262 with 24 doubles, 22 home runs and 45 walks.
• Nimmo is riding a five-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .450 with a double, two home runs, two walks and nine RBIs.

Mets Team Props

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• In eight games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Marlins have a record of 3-5.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Marlins and their opponents are 7-3-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Marlins have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Lopez is batting .245 with 18 doubles, 12 home runs and 41 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .313.
• In all of MLB, Lopez is 145th in homers and 65th in RBI.
• Xavier Edwards has 20 doubles, five triples, two home runs and 42 walks while hitting .285.
• Edwards is currently 376th in home runs and 220th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Agustin Ramirez has 27 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 28 walks while batting .229.
• Eric Wagaman is batting .235 with 22 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 29 walks.

Marlins Team Props

Marlins vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Miami Marlins and the New York Mets.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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