Mets vs. Giants Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 2

Pete Alonso and the New York Mets take on Matt Chapman and the San Francisco Giants at Citi Field on Saturday, at 4:10 p.m. ET. The Mets are listed as -196 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Giants (+162). New York is the run-line favorite (-1.5). An 8.5-run total is set for this game.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Giants game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Keep up with MLB on FOX Sports.

Shohei Ohtani, Aaron Judge Headline 2025 MLB All-Star Game Starters | MLB on FOX

Shohei Ohtani, Aaron Judge, and other superstars headlined the 2025 MLB All-Star Game starting lineup.

Mets vs. Giants Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, August 2, 2025 at 4:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to watch on TV: SNY and NBCS-BA

Mets vs. Giants Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 4, Giants 3
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 55%, Giants 45%

Mets vs. Giants Betting Insights

• This season, the Mets have won 49 out of the 77 games, or 63.6%, in which they've been favored.
• New York has entered 19 games this season favored by -196 or more and is 16-3 in those contests.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 66.2% chance to win.
• The Giants have been victorious in 21, or 48.8%, of the 43 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• San Francisco has played as an underdog of +162 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
• The Giants have an implied victory probability of 38.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets played as the moneyline favorite for six of their last 10 games, and went 4-2 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the run total three times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Mets have a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Juan Soto's 25 dingers in 2025 are the most on the Mets. He's also knocked in 63 runs while hitting .248.
• Including all MLB hitters, Soto ranks 103rd in batting average, seventh in on-base percentage, and 27th in slugging.
• Alonso has a club-best 83 runs batted in and .260 batting average.
• Among all MLB hitters, Alonso is 14th in homers and sixth in RBI.
• Francisco Lindor is batting .246 with 20 doubles, 20 home runs and 34 walks.
• Brandon Nimmo is hitting .256 with 21 doubles, 19 home runs and 34 walks.

Mets Team Props

Giants Recent Betting Performance

• The Giants have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and have gone 3-2 in those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Giants and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
• The Giants have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Giants Recent Stats

Giants Player Insights

• Rafael Devers has put up a team-leading 19 home runs and has driven in 73 runs.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Devers ranks 31st in home runs and 11th in RBI.
• Jung Hoo Lee has 23 doubles, eight triples, six home runs and 37 walks while batting .247.
• Lee ranks 219th overall in home runs and 103rd in RBI this year.
• Willy Adames is hitting .235 with 18 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 51 walks.
• Heliot Ramos paces the Giants with a .267 batting average.

Giants Team Props

Shohei Ohtani, Aaron Judge Headline 2025 MLB All-Star Game Starters | MLB on FOX

Shohei Ohtani, Aaron Judge, and other superstars headlined the 2025 MLB All-Star Game starting lineup.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience

New York Mets

San Francisco Giants