Mets vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 1

A pair of hot hitters, Pete Alonso and Corbin Carroll, will try to keep it going when the New York Mets play the Arizona Diamondbacks on Thursday at 1:10 p.m. ET, at Citi Field. Bookmakers list the Mets as -163 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Diamondbacks +136 moneyline odds. New York is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +134 odds). The total is 8 runs for this matchup.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Diamondbacks game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Diamondbacks vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the New York Mets.

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, May 1, 2025 at 1:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to watch on TV: MLB Network, SNY, and ARID

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 4, Diamondbacks 3
• Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 57%, Diamondbacks 43%

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

• This season, the Mets have won 17 out of the 23 games, or 73.9%, in which they've been favored.
• New York has a record of 8-2, a 80% win rate, when favored by -163 or more by bookmakers this season.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 62% chance to win.
• The Diamondbacks have been underdogs in eight games this season and have come away with the win four times (50%) in those contests.
• Arizona has yet to play a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +136.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 42.4% chance of walking away with the win.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets have a 5-2 record from the seven games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings, the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Mets have gone 7-3-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Alonso has a team-high batting average of .343, and paces the Mets in home runs (seven) and runs batted in (28).
• Of all batters in baseball, Alonso is 20th in home runs and third in RBI.
• Francisco Lindor is hitting .308 with five doubles, six home runs and nine walks.
• Lindor ranks 31st in home runs and 52nd in RBI on the season.
• Lindor has two games in a row with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .368 with a double, a home run, a walk and two RBI.
• Juan Soto is batting .241 with seven doubles, three home runs and 23 walks.
• Brandon Nimmo is hitting .216 with four doubles, six home runs and seven walks.

Mets Team Props

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

• In five games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Diamondbacks have a record of 2-3.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Diamondbacks and their opponents have failed to hit the over three times.
• The Diamondbacks have three wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Diamondbacks Player Insights

• Carroll is hitting .289 with eight doubles, four triples, nine home runs and 10 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .355.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Carroll is fourth in home runs and 16th in RBI.
• Geraldo Perdomo has driven in the most runs for the Diamondbacks with 24 runs batted in.
• Among all MLB batters, Perdomo is 72nd in homers and eighth in RBI.
• Josh Naylor paces the Diamondbacks with a team-best batting average of .318.
• Eugenio Suarez has swatted a team-high 10 long balls.

Diamondbacks Team Props

Diamondbacks vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the New York Mets.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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