Marlins vs. White Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 11

Marlins vs. White Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 11

Updated May. 11, 2025 2:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Miami Marlins versus Chicago White Sox game on Sunday at 2:10 p.m. ET will feature a pair of hot hitters in Dane Myers and Luis Robert. The Marlins are the favorite in this one, at -138, while the underdog White Sox have +117 odds to play spoiler. Miami is a 1.5-run favorite (at +123 odds). The over/under is 8 runs for the matchup (with -110 odds to go over and -110 odds to go under).

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Marlins-White Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Marlins vs. White Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the Miami Marlins and the Chicago White Sox.

Marlins vs. White Sox Game Information & Odds

  • When: Sunday, May 11, 2025 at 2:10 p.m. ET
  • Where: Rate Field in Chicago, Illinois
  • How to watch on TV: CHSN and FDSFL
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Marlins -138 +117 8 -110 -110 -1.5 +123 -147

Marlins vs. White Sox Prediction

  • Score Prediction: White Sox 5, Marlins 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Marlins 54%, White Sox 46%

Marlins vs. White Sox Betting Insights

  • This season, the Marlins have won four out of the five games in which they've been favored.
  • Miami has played as favorites of -138 or more twice this season and split those games.
  • The Marlins have a 58% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The White Sox have been underdogs in 40 games this season and have come away with the win 11 times (27.5%) in those contests.
  • This season, Chicago has come away with a win 11 times in 37 chances when named as an underdog of at least +117 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The White Sox have an implied victory probability of 46.1% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

  • The Marlins went 2-1 across the three games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Marlins and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total five times.
  • The Marlins are 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.6
HR 9
ERA 6.85
K/9 7.8

Marlins Player Insights

  • Kyle Stowers is the bat to watch in the Marlins lineup, leading the team in batting average (.294), home runs (7), and RBI (26).
  • Of all hitters in baseball, Stowers' home run total places him 39th, and his RBI tally puts him 20th.
  • Xavier Edwards is hitting .253 with three doubles, a triple and 18 walks.
  • Edwards is 321st in homers and 214th in RBI in the bigs.
  • Edwards carries a four-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .211 with four walks.
  • Eric Wagaman is hitting .236 with seven doubles, a triple, three home runs and eight walks.
  • Myers is hitting .337 with three doubles, three home runs and five walks.
  • Myers is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .316 with an RBI.

Marlins Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jesus Sanchez 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+150)
Eric Wagaman 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+150)
Agustin Ramirez 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+130)
Xavier Edwards 1.5 (+190) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+250)
Nick Fortes 0.5 (-135) 0.5 (-135) - 0.5 (+310)

White Sox Recent Betting Performance

  • The White Sox have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the White Sox and their opponents are 4-5-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The White Sox have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

White Sox Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.4
HR 4
ERA 4.07
K/9 6.4

White Sox Player Insights

  • Robert leads the White Sox with five home runs and runs batted in, driving in 16.
  • Among all hitters in the big leagues, Robert's home run total ranks 76th and his RBI tally ranks 113th.
  • Miguel Vargas has eight doubles, two home runs and 17 walks while hitting .215.
  • Vargas ranks 197th in home runs and 173rd in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
  • Andrew Vaughn paces the White Sox in home runs (five) and runs batted in (16).
  • Matthew Thaiss is hitting .222 with four doubles, a home run and 18 walks.

White Sox Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Andrew Vaughn 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+165)
Michael Taylor 0.5 (+100) 0.5 (+100) - 0.5 (+330)
Matthew Thaiss 0.5 (-125) 0.5 (-130) - 0.5 (+230)
Lenyn Sosa 0.5 (-210) 0.5 (-215) - 0.5 (+215)
Joshua Palacios 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (-145) - 0.5 (+250)

Marlins vs. White Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the Miami Marlins and the Chicago White Sox.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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