
Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 10
A couple of hot hitters, Otto Lopez and C.J. Abrams, will be on display when the Miami Marlins play the Washington Nationals on Wednesday at 6:40 p.m. ET, at loanDepot park. The favored Marlins have -156 moneyline odds against the underdog Nationals, who are listed at +130. Miami (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The over/under is 8.5 runs for the game.
Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Marlins-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
Keep up with MLB on FOX Sports.
Nationals vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX
Marlins vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds
- When: Wednesday, September 10, 2025 at 6:40 p.m. ET
- Where: loanDepot park in Miami, Florida
- How to watch on TV: FDSFL and MASN2
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | -156 | +130 | 8.5 | -116 | -104 | -1.5 | +137 | -164 |
Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction
- Score Prediction: Marlins 6, Nationals 5
- Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Marlins 54%, Nationals 46%
Marlins vs. Nationals Betting Insights
- This season, the Marlins have been favored 25 times and won 10, or 40%, of those games.
- Miami has played as favorites of -156 or more twice this season and lost both games.
- The implied probability of a win from the Marlins, based on the moneyline, is 60.9%.
- The Nationals have come away with 54 wins in the 125 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This season, Washington has come away with a win 28 times in 72 chances when named as an underdog of at least +130 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 43.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
Marlins Recent Betting Performance
- The Marlins did not win a game while favored on the moneyline over the last 10 games in three tries.
- Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Marlins combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total five times.
- The Marlins have gone 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.
Marlins Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 6.31 |
| K/9 | 7.6 |
Marlins Player Insights
- Lopez is batting .249 with 18 doubles, 14 home runs and 44 walks.
- Of all hitters in baseball, Lopez ranks 138th in home runs and 63rd in RBI.
- Lopez has collected a hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .353 with two home runs and four RBIs.
- Xavier Edwards is hitting .279 with 20 doubles, five triples, two home runs and 45 walks.
- Edwards ranks 390th in home runs and 224th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
- Edwards has two games in a row with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .143 with three walks and two RBIs.
- Agustin Ramirez is hitting .226 with 28 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 31 walks.
- Eric Wagaman has 25 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 32 walks while hitting .238.
Marlins Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Hicks | 0.5 (-241) | 1.5 (+123) | - | 0.5 (+152) |
| Jakob Marsee | 0.5 (-260) | 1.5 (+112) | - | 0.5 (+169) |
| Heriberto Hernandez | 0.5 (-204) | 1.5 (+129) | - | 0.5 (+176) |
| Xavier Edwards | 1.5 (+178) | 1.5 (+105) | - | 0.5 (+217) |
| Otto Lopez | 1.5 (+172) | 1.5 (-102) | - | 0.5 (+143) |
Nationals Recent Betting Performance
- The Nationals have played as underdogs in eight of their past 10 games and won five of those contests.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
- The Nationals have seven wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.
Nationals Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.7 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.15 |
| K/9 | 7.6 |
Nationals Player Insights
- Abrams leads the Nationals with a .268 batting average.
- Abrams' home run total puts him 96th in the majors, and he ranks 135th in RBI.
- Abrams brings a hitting streak of six games into this game. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .289 with six doubles and three walks.
- James Wood been a consistent power bat this season, as he leads his team with 27 home runs and 88 RBI.
- Wood is 29th among all hitters in MLB in home runs, and 21st in RBI.
- Luis Garcia is batting .260 with 27 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 26 walks.
- Josh Bell has 13 doubles, a triple, 20 home runs and 54 walks while hitting .232.
Nationals Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Garcia | 0.5 (-222) | 1.5 (+129) | - | 0.5 (+171) |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 (-194) | 1.5 (+136) | - | 0.5 (+175) |
| Daylen Lile | 0.5 (-211) | 1.5 (+135) | - | 0.5 (+180) |
| C.J. Abrams | 0.5 (-233) | 1.5 (+113) | - | 0.5 (+189) |
| Brady House | 0.5 (-201) | 1.5 (+147) | - | 0.5 (+208) |
Nationals vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.
4 Takeaways From the World Baseball Classic Roster Announcements
Tigers' Tarik Skubal Wins Salary Arbitration Case, Will Be Paid Record $32M
World Baseball Classic Power Rankings: Who Joins USA, Japan As Favorites?
What’s Next: Tigers Make Splash With Framber Valdez As Tarik Skubal Decision Looms
2026 MLB Free Agent Signings, Trades: Yankees Re-Sign Paul Goldschmidt
MLB Free Agency Rumors, Buzz: Tigers' Tarik Skubal Wins Record Arbitration
2026 World Baseball Classic Odds: USA, Japan Top Board as Favorites
World Baseball Classic: Who Is On Team USA's Roster?
How to Watch 2026 World Baseball Classic: Streaming, Teams, Dates
4 Takeaways From the World Baseball Classic Roster Announcements
Tigers' Tarik Skubal Wins Salary Arbitration Case, Will Be Paid Record $32M
World Baseball Classic Power Rankings: Who Joins USA, Japan As Favorites?
What’s Next: Tigers Make Splash With Framber Valdez As Tarik Skubal Decision Looms
2026 MLB Free Agent Signings, Trades: Yankees Re-Sign Paul Goldschmidt
MLB Free Agency Rumors, Buzz: Tigers' Tarik Skubal Wins Record Arbitration
2026 World Baseball Classic Odds: USA, Japan Top Board as Favorites
World Baseball Classic: Who Is On Team USA's Roster?
How to Watch 2026 World Baseball Classic: Streaming, Teams, Dates

