
Mariners vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 18
The Seattle Mariners versus Kansas City Royals game on Thursday at 2:10 p.m. ET will feature a pair of hot hitters in Cal Raleigh and Bobby Witt Jr. The Mariners are -121 moneyline favorites for this matchup with the Royals (+101). Seattle is a 1.5-run favorite (at +131 odds). The total is 9 runs for the game (with -120 odds on the over and -100 odds on the under).
Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mariners-Royals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Mariners vs. Royals Highlights | MLB on FOX
Mariners vs. Royals Game Information & Odds
- When: Thursday, September 18, 2025 at 2:10 p.m. ET
- Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
- How to watch on TV: FDSKC and ROOT Sports NW
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariners | -121 | +101 | 9 | -120 | -100 | -1.5 | +131 | -158 |
Mariners vs. Royals Prediction
- Score Prediction: Royals 5, Mariners 4
- Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
- Win Probabilities: Mariners 51%, Royals 49%
Mariners vs. Royals Betting Insights
- This season, the Mariners have been favored 106 times and won 61, or 57.5%, of those games.
- Seattle has a record of 52-35 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -121 on the moneyline.
- The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 54.8% chance of a victory for the Mariners.
- The Royals have won in 39, or 44.8%, of the 87 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Kansas City has a mark of 27-44 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +101 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 49.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
Mariners Recent Betting Performance
- The Mariners won each of the nine games it played as a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
- In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Mariners and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total seven times.
- The Mariners are 7-3-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.
Mariners Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 9-1 |
| Runs Per Game | 7.3 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 2.72 |
| K/9 | 11 |
Mariners Player Insights
- Raleigh paces the Mariners with 56 home runs and 118 runs batted in.
- Among all hitters in baseball, Raleigh ranks first in home runs and third in RBI.
- Raleigh takes a hitting streak of five games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .474 with three doubles, three home runs, two walks and five RBIs.
- Julio Rodriguez is hitting .271 with 31 doubles, four triples, 30 home runs and 38 walks.
- Among all major league hitters, Rodriguez is 16th in home runs and 18th in RBI.
- Rodriguez carries a seven-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. In his last 10 games he is hitting .350 with seven doubles, four walks and seven RBIs.
- Josh Naylor paces the Mariners with a .285 batting average.
- Naylor is on a four-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .273 with a double and six RBIs.
- Eugenio Suarez has 26 doubles, 46 home runs and 44 walks while hitting .230.
Mariners Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 (-254) | 1.5 (+116) | - | 0.5 (+156) |
| Eugenio Suárez | 0.5 (-235) | 1.5 (+115) | - | 0.5 (+168) |
| Dominic Canzone | 0.5 (-229) | 1.5 (+129) | - | 0.5 (+177) |
| Randy Arozarena | 1.5 (+182) | 1.5 (-101) | - | 0.5 (+178) |
| Julio Rodríguez | 1.5 (+162) | 1.5 (-110) | - | 0.5 (+136) |
Royals Recent Betting Performance
- In eight games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Royals have a record of 2-6.
- The Royals and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.
- The Royals have three wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.
Royals Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.9 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 6.25 |
| K/9 | 8 |
Royals Player Insights
- Witt leads the Royals with a team-leading batting average of .293.
- Among all batters in MLB, Witt's home run total ranks 59th and his RBI tally ranks 40th.
- Witt brings a hitting streak of three games into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .300 with a double, a triple, a home run, two walks and three RBIs.
- Maikel Garcia is batting .289 with 36 doubles, five triples, 16 home runs and 57 walks.
- Garcia is 117th in home runs and 76th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
- Vinnie Pasquantino has been solid source of run production for the Royals with 30 long balls and 104 runs batted in.
- Salvador Perez is batting .238 with 34 doubles, 29 home runs and 25 walks.
Royals Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinnie Pasquantino | 0.5 (-267) | 1.5 (-101) | - | 0.5 (+142) |
| Salvador Pérez | 0.5 (-235) | 1.5 (+112) | - | 0.5 (+152) |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 (-250) | 1.5 (+104) | - | 0.5 (+169) |
| Maikel Garcia | 0.5 (-228) | 1.5 (+133) | - | 0.5 (+172) |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 1.5 (+185) | 1.5 (-111) | - | 0.5 (+157) |
Mariners vs. Royals Highlights | MLB on FOX
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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