Mariners vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 16

J.P. Crawford and the Seattle Mariners take on Abraham Toro and the Boston Red Sox at T-Mobile Park on Monday at 9:40 p.m. ET, in the first game of a three-game series. Oddsmakers list the Mariners as -176 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Red Sox +146 moneyline odds to win. Seattle (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. A 7-run total has been listed for this game.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mariners-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mariners vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, June 16, 2025 at 9:40 p.m. ET
• Where: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington
• How to watch on TV: ROOT Sports NW and NESN

Mariners vs. Red Sox Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mariners 5, Red Sox 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mariners 51%, Red Sox 49%

Mariners vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

• This season, the Mariners have been favored 45 times and won 23, or 51.1%, of those games.
• Seattle has a record of 4-6 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -176 on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mariners have a 63.8% chance to win.
• The Red Sox have been underdogs in 25 games this season and have come away with the win 12 times (48%) in those contests.
• Boston has a mark of 2-3 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +146 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 40.7% chance of walking away with the win.

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

• The Mariners played as the moneyline favorite in seven of their last 10 games, and went 4-3 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Mariners combined with their opponents to go over the run total four times.
• The Mariners have a 2-8-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mariners Recent Stats

Mariners Player Insights

• Cal Raleigh has gone yard 26 times in the 2025 campaign while driving in 54 runs, both totals that lead the Mariners.
• In all of Major League Baseball, Raleigh is first in home runs and sixth in RBI.
• Raleigh has collected a hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is batting .222 with a double, four walks and an RBI.
• Julio Rodriguez has nine doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 20 walks while batting .261.
• Rodriguez ranks 57th in homers and 67th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Crawford leads the Mariners with a .296 batting average.
• Crawford has at least one base hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .421 with a double, a home run, four walks and five RBIs.
• Jorge Polanco is hitting .262 with eight doubles, 11 home runs and 12 walks.

Mariners Team Props

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Red Sox and their opponents are 5-5-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Red Sox have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Jarren Duran has recorded a team-best 38 runs batted in.
• Duran is 178th in homers and 45th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Ceddanne Rafaela is batting .253 with 11 doubles, two triples, six home runs and 14 walks.
• Rafaela is 148th in homers and 125th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Carlos Narvaez has 15 doubles, six home runs and 24 walks while hitting .286.
• Trevor Story is batting .234 with seven doubles, nine home runs and 13 walks.

Red Sox Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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