
Guardians vs. Tigers ALDS Game 3 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 9
Game 3 of the ALDS on Wednesday will feature the Cleveland Guardians traveling to take on the Detroit Tigers. The teams will look to break the 1-1 series deadlock when action begins at 3:08 p.m. ET on TBS, live from Comerica Park. The Guardians have been listed as -113 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Tigers (-107). Cleveland is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total is 7.5 runs for the contest.
Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Tigers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
Tigers vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX
Guardians vs. Tigers Game Information & Odds
- When: Wednesday, October 9, 2024 at 3:08 p.m. ET
- Where: Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan
- How to Watch on TV: TBS
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | -113 | -107 | 7.5 | +100 | -120 | -1.5 | +155 | -185 |
Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction
- Score Prediction: Tigers 5, Guardians 4
- Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Guardians 52%, Tigers 48%
Guardians vs. Tigers Betting Insights
- This season, the Guardians have won 66 out of the 102 games, or 64.7%, in which they've been favored.
- Cleveland has a record of 60-32, a 65.2% win rate, when favored by -113 or more by bookmakers this season.
- The Guardians have a 53.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- The Tigers have won in 48, or 49.5%, of the 97 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Detroit has come away with a win 44 times in 93 chances when named as an underdog of at least -107 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Tigers have a 51.7% chance of walking away with the win.
Guardians Recent Betting Performance
- The Guardians played as the moneyline favorite in six of their last 10 games, and they went 3-3 in those matchups.
- Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Guardians and their opponents combined to go over the total two times.
- The Guardians' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.
Guardians Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 1.82 |
| K/9 | 9.4 |
Guardians Player Insights
- The Guardians' best power option comes in the form of Jose Ramirez and his 39-homer 118-RBI season, both team highs.
- Among all hitters in MLB, Ramirez is fifth in homers and third in RBI.
- Josh Naylor is batting .243 with 27 doubles, 31 home runs and 58 walks.
- Naylor ranks 18th in homers in baseball, and eighth in RBI.
- Naylor enters this game looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .278 with a double, a walk and two RBI.
- Steven Kwan leads the Guardians with a .292 batting average.
- Kwan will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is hitting .357 with a double, a home run, six walks and an RBI.
- Andres Gimenez has 22 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 26 walks while batting .252.
Guardians Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 (-245) | 1.5 (+145) | - | 0.5 (+275) |
| Lane Thomas | 0.5 (-220) | 1.5 (+135) | - | 0.5 (+180) |
| José Ramírez | 0.5 (-230) | 1.5 (+120) | - | 0.5 (+165) |
| Kyle Manzardo | 0.5 (-145) | 0.5 (-145) | - | 0.5 (+240) |
| Will Brennan | 0.5 (-170) | 0.5 (-170) | - | 0.5 (+245) |
Learn more about this Guardians vs. Tigers matchup on Fox Sports.
Tigers Recent Betting Performance
- In three games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Tigers have a record of 2-1.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Tigers and their opponents are 2-7-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
- The Tigers have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Tigers Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.3 |
| HR | 5 |
| ERA | 2.83 |
| K/9 | 7.8 |
Tigers Player Insights
- Riley Greene leads the squad with a batting average of .262, and paces the Tigers in home runs, with 24 and runs batted in with 74.
- Among all batters in the majors, Greene's home run total is 42nd and his RBI tally is 61st.
- Matt Vierling is batting .257 with 28 doubles, five triples, 16 home runs and 41 walks.
- Vierling is 117th among all hitters in MLB in homers, and 126th in RBI.
- Colt Keith is hitting .260 with 15 doubles, four triples, 13 home runs and 36 walks.
- Kerry Carpenter is batting .284 with 16 doubles, five triples, 18 home runs and 22 walks.
Tigers Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Vierling | 0.5 (-230) | 1.5 (+145) | - | 0.5 (+195) |
| Colt Keith | 0.5 (-200) | 0.5 (-200) | - | 0.5 (+220) |
| Trey Sweeney | 0.5 (-130) | 0.5 (-130) | - | 0.5 (+260) |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 (-205) | 0.5 (-205) | - | 0.5 (+225) |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 (-210) | 0.5 (-210) | - | 0.5 (+190) |
Tigers vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.
What's Next: How Top MLB Signings and Trades Affect New Teams, Free Agency
2026 MLB Free Agent Signings, Trades: Cardinals Add Former Dodgers Pitcher
MLB Free Agency Rumors, Buzz: Blue Jays Extend President on Long-Term Deal
What’s Next: With Robert Suarez Off the Board to Braves, Closer Market Is Getting Thin
The Big Picture: After Breaking Up Mets Core, What Can We Expect in Queens?
The Big Picture: Dodgers Didn't Need A Big Splash, Still Made One with Edwin Díaz
Ranking the 10 best closers in MLB for 2025
How the Dodgers Wooed Longtime Mets Closer Edwin Díaz: ‘I’m Looking to Win'
What's Next: Pete Alonso Gives Baltimore a Boost and the Mets Need to Act Fast
What's Next: How Top MLB Signings and Trades Affect New Teams, Free Agency
2026 MLB Free Agent Signings, Trades: Cardinals Add Former Dodgers Pitcher
MLB Free Agency Rumors, Buzz: Blue Jays Extend President on Long-Term Deal
What’s Next: With Robert Suarez Off the Board to Braves, Closer Market Is Getting Thin
The Big Picture: After Breaking Up Mets Core, What Can We Expect in Queens?
The Big Picture: Dodgers Didn't Need A Big Splash, Still Made One with Edwin Díaz
Ranking the 10 best closers in MLB for 2025
How the Dodgers Wooed Longtime Mets Closer Edwin Díaz: ‘I’m Looking to Win'
What's Next: Pete Alonso Gives Baltimore a Boost and the Mets Need to Act Fast

