
Guardians vs. Rangers Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 26
Josh Jung and the Texas Rangers hit the field on Friday at Progressive Field against Slade Cecconi, who will start for the Cleveland Guardians. First pitch is at 7:10 p.m. ET. The Guardians are -158 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Rangers (+132). Cleveland is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +139 odds). The game's total has been set at 7.5 runs.
Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Rangers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Tigers vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX
Guardians vs. Rangers Game Information & Odds
- When: Friday, September 26, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
- Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
- How to watch on TV: MLB Network, CLEG, and Victory+
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | -158 | +132 | 7.5 | -101 | -119 | -1.5 | +139 | -167 |
Guardians vs. Rangers Prediction
- Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Rangers 4
- Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Guardians 52%, Rangers 48%
Guardians vs. Rangers Betting Insights
- The Guardians have been favorites in 69 games this season and won 43 (62.3%) of those contests.
- Cleveland is 10-4 this season when entering a game favored by -158 or more on the moneyline.
- The Guardians have a 61.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- The Rangers have been victorious in 30, or 39.5%, of the 76 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, Texas has come away with a win two times in 13 chances when named as an underdog of at least +132 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Rangers have an implied victory probability of 43.1% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
Guardians Recent Betting Performance
- The Guardians have a 3-2 record from the five games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
- Over their last 10 matchups, the Guardians and their opponents combined to go over the run total two times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
- The Guardians have an 8-2-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.
Guardians Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 2.00 |
| K/9 | 11.5 |
Guardians Player Insights
- Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians in home runs (30), runs batted in (85) and has accumulated a team-best batting average of .284.
- Of all hitters in baseball, Ramirez is 25th in home runs and 34th in RBI.
- Ramirez carries an eight-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 games he is batting .333 with five doubles, two home runs, seven walks and eight RBIs.
- Steven Kwan is hitting .275 with 29 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 54 walks.
- Kwan is 187th in home runs in baseball, and 138th in RBI.
- Kyle Manzardo is hitting .232 with 18 doubles, two triples, 26 home runs and 48 walks.
- Angel Martinez is batting .226 with 23 doubles, two triples, 11 home runs and 22 walks.
Guardians Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 (-266) | 1.5 (+132) | - | 0.5 (+251) |
| Kyle Manzardo | 0.5 (-180) | 1.5 (+133) | - | 0.5 (+144) |
| José Ramírez | 0.5 (-255) | 1.5 (+100) | - | 0.5 (+127) |
| Slade Cecconi | - | - | - | - |
| Angel Martinez | - | - | - | - |
Rangers Recent Betting Performance
- Over the past 10 games, the Rangers have been underdogs twice and lost both contests.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Rangers and their opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.
- The Rangers have won one of their last 10 games against the spread.
Rangers Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 1-9 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.6 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 4.00 |
| K/9 | 8.2 |
Rangers Player Insights
- Josh Smith leads the Rangers with a team-high batting average of .251.
- Among all hitters in the majors, Smith is 211th in home runs and 244th in RBI.
- Adolis Garcia has driven in the most runs for the Rangers with 74 runs batted in.
- Garcia ranks 103rd overall in home runs and 68th in RBI this year.
- Jung is batting .249 with 21 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 26 walks.
- Jake Burger is hitting .236 with 15 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 12 walks.
Rangers Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Jung | 0.5 (-242) | 1.5 (+127) | - | 0.5 (+209) |
| Cody Freeman | 0.5 (-222) | 1.5 (+138) | - | 0.5 (+267) |
| Josh Smith | - | - | - | - |
| Jack Leiter | - | - | - | - |
| Rowdy Tellez | 0.5 (-147) | - | - | 0.5 (+193) |
Twins vs. Rangers Highlights | MLB on FOX
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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