Dodgers vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 4

Dodgers vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 4

Updated Sep. 4, 2025 6:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Shohei Ohtani and the Los Angeles Dodgers will meet Bryan Reynolds and the Pittsburgh Pirates on Thursday at PNC Park, at 6:40 p.m. ET. The favored Dodgers have -115 moneyline odds against the underdog Pirates, who are listed at -104. Los Angeles is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under for the contest has been listed at 7 runs.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Dodgers-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Dodgers vs. Pirates Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Dodgers vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

  • When: Thursday, September 4, 2025 at 6:40 p.m. ET
  • Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • How to watch on TV: SportsNet PT and SportsNet LA
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Dodgers -115 -104 7 -101 -119 -1.5 +153 -187

Dodgers vs. Pirates Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Dodgers 5, Pirates 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Dodgers 50%, Pirates 50%

Dodgers vs. Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Dodgers have won 70, or 57.4%, of the 122 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Los Angeles has entered 120 games this season favored by -115 or more and is 70-50 in those contests.
  • The Dodgers have a 53.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Pirates have won in 42, or 42.9%, of the 98 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • Pittsburgh has a mark of 39-53 in contests where bookmakers favor it by -104 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 51% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Dodgers Recent Betting Performance

  • The Dodgers were the moneyline favorite in nine of their last 10 games, and they went 4-5 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Dodgers and their opponents combined to go over the run total two times.
  • The Dodgers have a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Dodgers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4
HR 13
ERA 3.72
K/9 10.6

Dodgers Player Insights

  • Ohtani paces the Dodgers with 46 home runs and 87 runs batted in.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Ohtani's home run total places him third, and his RBI tally puts him 18th.
  • Ohtani carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .350 with three doubles, a home run, two walks and two RBIs.
  • Mookie Betts is batting .250 with 18 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 54 walks.
  • Betts is 129th in homers and 94th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
  • Freddie Freeman leads the Dodgers with a .297 batting average.
  • Andy Pages is hitting .272 with 22 doubles, a triple, 24 home runs and 27 walks.

Dodgers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Shohei Ohtani 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+105) - 0.5 (+150)
Mookie Betts 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+220)
Freddie Freeman 0.5 (-245) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+170)
Blake Snell - - - -
Alex Freeland - - - -

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

  • In nine games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Pirates have a record of 6-3.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents are 4-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Pirates have eight wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 4.9
HR 9
ERA 2.79
K/9 9.3

Pirates Player Insights

  • Reynolds has put up a team-best 69 runs batted in.
  • Reynolds is 116th in homers and 61st in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Oneil Cruz's 19 home runs lead his team.
  • Cruz ranks 69th in homers and 114th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
  • Andrew McCutchen paces the Pirates with a team-best batting average of .247.
  • Tommy Pham is hitting .264 with 16 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 39 walks.

Pirates Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Nick Gonzales 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+245)
Paul Skenes - - - -
Liover Peguero - - - -
Tommy Pham 0.5 (-150) - - 0.5 (+215)
Jared Triolo 0.5 (-170) - - 0.5 (+300)

Dodgers vs. Pirates Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Pittsburgh Pirates.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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