Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 28

Corbin Carroll and the Arizona Diamondbacks will take the field at Chase Field against the Pittsburgh Pirates and Oneil Cruz on Wednesday. Oddsmakers list the Diamondbacks as -267 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Pirates +217 moneyline odds. Arizona is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with -129 odds). The total for the matchup is set at 8.5 runs.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Diamondbacks-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, May 28, 2025 at 3:40 p.m. ET
• Where: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
• How to watch on TV: ARID and SportsNet PT

Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Prediction

• Score Prediction: Diamondbacks 6, Pirates 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Diamondbacks 56%, Pirates 44%

Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Betting Insights

• This season, the Diamondbacks have been favored 35 times and won 19, or 54.3%, of those games.
• Arizona has entered four games this season favored by -267 or more and is 2-2 in those contests.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 72.8% chance of a victory for the Diamondbacks.
• The Pirates have been underdogs in 39 games this season and have come away with the win 14 times (35.9%) in those contests.
• Pittsburgh has a mark of 1-3 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +217 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 31.5% chance of walking away with the win.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

• The Diamondbacks were favored on the moneyline for five of their last 10 games, and they finished 2-3 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Diamondbacks combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total four times.
• The Diamondbacks' record against the spread is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Diamondbacks Player Insights

• Geraldo Perdomo is the Diamondbacks best hitter thus far this season, hitting at a team-leading .296 rate along with six homers and 39 RBI.
• Perdomo ranks 99th in homers and 12th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Corbin Carroll's 16 home runs pace his team.
• Carroll is fifth in home runs and 18th in RBI in the majors.
• Josh Naylor is hitting .291 with 13 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 19 walks.
• Naylor will look to build on his six-game hitting in this game. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .237 with two doubles, a triple, a home run, a walk and seven RBIs.
• Eugenio Suarez's 41 runs batted in lead his team.

Diamondbacks Team Props

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• The Pirates have played as underdogs in eight of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Pirates and their opponents are 4-5-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Pirates have won five of their last 10 games against the spread.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Oneil Cruz has swatted a team-high 11 long balls.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Cruz is 21st in home runs and 101st in RBI.
• Bryan Reynolds has collected 30 runs batted in to pace his team.
• Reynolds ranks 78th in homers and 43rd in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
• Andrew McCutchen leads the Pirates with a team-best batting average of .261.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has six doubles, a triple, a home run and nine walks while hitting .285.

Pirates Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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