Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 25

Eugenio Suarez and the Arizona Diamondbacks will look to do damage against Mike Burrows when he takes the mound for the Pittsburgh Pirates on Friday at 6:40 p.m. ET, in the first game of a three-game series at PNC Park. The Diamondbacks are the favorite in this one, at -114, while the underdog Pirates have -106 odds to play spoiler. Arizona is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +144 odds). The over/under is 9 runs for the contest (with -105 odds to hit the over and -116 odds to go under).

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Diamondbacks-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, July 25, 2025 at 6:40 p.m. ET
• Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• How to watch on TV: SportsNet PT and ARID

Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Prediction

• Score Prediction: Pirates 6, Diamondbacks 5
• Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Diamondbacks 51%, Pirates 49%

Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Betting Insights

• The Diamondbacks have been favorites in 66 games this season and won 33 (50%) of those contests.
• This season Arizona has won 31 of its 62 games, or 50%, when favored by at least -114 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Diamondbacks, based on the moneyline, is 53.3%.
• The Pirates have been underdogs in 71 games this season and have come away with the win 28 times (39.4%) in those contests.
• This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win 26 times in 69 chances when named as an underdog of at least -106 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 51.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

• The Diamondbacks were the moneyline favorite in five of their last 10 games, and they finished 2-3 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups, the Diamondbacks and their opponents combined to hit the over four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Diamondbacks' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Diamondbacks Player Insights

• Geraldo Perdomo's .283 average leads the Diamondbacks this year. His resume also includes 10 homers and driven in 72 RBI.
• Among all MLB hitters, Perdomo is 30th in batting average, ninth in on-base percentage, and 72nd in slugging.
• Perdomo has collected a hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .550 with two doubles, a walk and five RBIs.
• Eugenio Suarez has shown off his power as he paces his team with 36 home runs and 86 runs batted in.
• Suarez is fourth in home runs in MLB, and first in RBI.
• Corbin Carroll has 18 doubles, 13 triples, 21 home runs and 32 walks while batting .250.
• Carroll is on a five-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .364 with three doubles, three triples and three RBIs.
• Ketel Marte is hitting .287 with 14 doubles, 20 home runs and 41 walks.

Diamondbacks Team Props

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• The Pirates have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and have gone 3-3 in those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
• The Pirates have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Oneil Cruz has swatted a team-high 16 home runs.
• In all of MLB, Cruz is 50th in homers and 117th in RBI.
• Bryan Reynolds has been productive as he leads his team with 50 RBI.
• Reynolds ranks 132nd overall in home runs and 65th in RBI this season.
• Andrew McCutchen is hitting .255 with 15 doubles, nine home runs and 38 walks.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa paces the Pirates with a team-high batting average of .271.

Pirates Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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