Cubs vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 30

Kyle Tucker and the Chicago Cubs hit the field on Friday at Wrigley Field against Andrew Abbott, who is starting for the Cincinnati Reds. First pitch is at 2:20 p.m. ET. Bookmakers list the Cubs as -165 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Reds +139 moneyline odds. Chicago is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 9 runs for this matchup.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Cubs-Reds game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Cubs vs. Reds Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, May 30, 2025 at 2:20 p.m. ET
• Where: Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois
• How to watch on TV: MLB Network, MARQ, and FDSOH

Cubs vs. Reds Prediction

• Score Prediction: Cubs 5, Reds 4
• Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Cubs 56%, Reds 44%

Cubs vs. Reds Betting Insights

• The Cubs have won 26, or 70.3%, of the 37 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Chicago has a record of 10-4 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -165 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Cubs, based on the moneyline, is 62.3%.
• The Reds have been victorious in 15, or 50%, of the 30 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Cincinnati has come away with a win two times in five chances when named as an underdog of at least +139 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Reds have an implied victory probability of 41.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Cubs Recent Betting Performance

• The Cubs have an 8-2 record across the 10 games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Cubs and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times.
• The Cubs' record against the spread is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Cubs Recent Stats

Cubs Player Insights

• Tucker is hitting .281 with nine doubles, four triples, 12 home runs and 39 walks.
• Including all MLB hitters, Tucker is 35th in batting average, 15th in on-base percentage, and 14th in slugging.
• Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit 15 home runs to pace his team.
• Crow-Armstrong ranks sixth in homers and second in RBI among all MLB batters this year.
• Seiya Suzuki has a team-best 51 runs batted in.
• Suzuki has at least one base hit in nine straight games. During his last 10 games he is hitting .405 with six doubles, three home runs, seven walks and 14 RBIs.
• Nico Hoerner's .289 batting average is a team-high mark.

Cubs Team Props

Reds Recent Betting Performance

• The Reds have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• The Reds and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.
• Over their last 10 games, the Reds are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Reds Recent Stats

Reds Player Insights

• Elly De La Cruz paces the Reds in home runs (11) and runs batted in (40).
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, De La Cruz is 22nd in home runs and 11th in RBI.
• De La Cruz brings a hitting streak of six games into this game. In his last 10 games he is batting .275 with three doubles, three home runs, five walks and nine RBIs.
• TJ Friedl is batting .301 to lead the lineup.
• Friedl ranks 197th overall in home runs and 151st in RBI this year.
• Gavin Lux is hitting .291 with 14 doubles, a triple, a home run and 24 walks.
• Santiago Espinal is hitting .270 with nine doubles and 14 walks.

Reds Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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