
Brewers vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 28
The Milwaukee Brewers and Cincinnati Reds meet on Sunday at 3:10 p.m. ET. Andrew Vaughn and Spencer Steer have been on a tear in recent games for their respective squads. The Reds have been listed as +111 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the favored Brewers (-132). Milwaukee (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The matchup's total is set at 7.5 runs.
Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Brewers-Reds game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Brewers vs. Padres Highlights | MLB on FOX
Brewers vs. Reds Game Information & Odds
- When: Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 3:10 p.m. ET
- Where: American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
- How to watch on TV: FDSWI and FDSOH
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | -132 | +111 | 7.5 | -110 | -110 | -1.5 | +151 | -182 |
Brewers vs. Reds Prediction
- Score Prediction: Brewers 4, Reds 3
- Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Brewers 57%, Reds 43%
Brewers vs. Reds Betting Insights
- This season, the Brewers have been favored 96 times and won 59, or 61.5%, of those games.
- Milwaukee has a record of 44-18 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -132 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 56.9% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
- The Reds have won in 43, or 50.6%, of the 85 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Cincinnati has a win-loss record of 19-30 when favored by +111 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
- The Reds have an implied victory probability of 47.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
Brewers Recent Betting Performance
- The Brewers have a 3-6 record across the nine games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
- Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Brewers and their opponents combined to go over the total four times.
- The Brewers' record against the spread is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.
Brewers Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.1 |
| HR | 4 |
| ERA | 3.23 |
| K/9 | 9.2 |
Brewers Player Insights
- Brice Turang is batting .287 with 27 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 64 walks.
- Turang's home runs rank him 105th in MLB, and he ranks 52nd in RBI.
- Turang carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with a double, three walks and three RBIs.
- Christian Yelich has hit 29 home runs with 103 RBI. Both pace his team.
- Yelich ranks 33rd in home runs and 11th in RBI on the season.
- Yelich heads into this game looking for his sixth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .238 with a double, three walks and three RBIs.
- William Contreras is batting .260 with 28 doubles, 17 home runs and 84 walks.
- Jackson Chourio is hitting .268 with 34 doubles, four triples, 21 home runs and 30 walks.
Brewers Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio | 0.5 (-235) | 1.5 (+115) | - | 0.5 (+179) |
| William Contreras | - | - | - | - |
| Joey Ortiz | - | - | - | - |
| Freddy Peralta | - | - | - | - |
| Andrew Vaughn | - | - | - | - |
Reds Recent Betting Performance
- The Reds have played as underdogs three times over their past 10 games and won each of those contests.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Reds and their opponents have failed to hit the over eight times.
- The Reds have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Reds Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.8 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 1.96 |
| K/9 | 9.0 |
Reds Player Insights
- Elly De La Cruz leads the Reds in home runs (21) and runs batted in (85).
- De La Cruz's home run total places him 71st in the majors, and he ranks 39th in RBI.
- TJ Friedl is batting .260 with 22 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 80 walks.
- Friedl ranks 160th among all batters in the majors in homers, and 162nd in RBI.
- Steer has 21 home runs, best in the lineup.
- Austin Hays is hitting .266 with 16 doubles, five triples, 15 home runs and 29 walks.
Reds Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noelvi Marte | 0.5 (-196) | 1.5 (+135) | - | 0.5 (+192) |
| Miguel Andujar | 0.5 (-244) | 1.5 (+127) | - | 0.5 (+175) |
| Tyler Stephenson | - | - | - | - |
| Brady Singer | - | - | - | - |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 (-149) | - | - | 0.5 (+276) |
Brewers vs. Padres Highlights | MLB on FOX
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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