Brewers vs. Diamondbacks NL Wild Card Game 1 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 3

The NL Wild Card Series begins on Tuesday when the Milwaukee Brewers play host to the Arizona Diamondbacks. Action begins at 7:08 PM ET at American Family Field, and can be watched on ESPN2. The favored Brewers have -179 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Diamondbacks, who are listed at +151. Milwaukee is a 1.5-run favorite (at +119 odds). The over/under for the matchup has been listed at 8 runs.

The starting pitchers are Corbin Burnes (10-8) for the Milwaukee Brewers, and Brandon Pfaadt (3-9) for the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Brewers-Diamondbacks game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, October 3, 2023 at 7:08 PM ET
• Where: American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• How to Watch on TV: ESPN2

Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

• Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Diamondbacks 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Brewers 56%, Diamondbacks 44%

Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

• The Brewers have been favorites in 87 games this season and won 52 (59.8%) of those contests.
• Milwaukee has a record of 10-10, a 50% win rate, when favored by -179 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The Brewers have a 64.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Diamondbacks have won in 41, or 47.1%, of the 87 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This season, Arizona has come away with a win seven times in 13 chances when named as an underdog of at least +151 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 39.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

• The Brewers were the moneyline favorite for eight of their last 10 games, and they went 5-3 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Brewers and their opponents combined to go over the total three times.
• The Brewers are 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Brewers Player Insights

• Christian Yelich has 34 doubles, two triples, 19 home runs and 78 walks while batting .278.
• Yelich ranks 102nd in homers and 66th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
• Yelich carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .313 with a double, five walks and an RBI.
• Carlos Santana has been productive as he paces his team with 86 runs batted in.
• Among all major league hitters, Santana ranks 62nd in home runs and 41st in RBI.
• William Contreras has racked up a team-best batting average of .291.
• Contreras will look to build on his 18-game hitting in this game. In his last 10 games he is batting .378 with three doubles, six walks and four RBI.
• Willy Adames has hit 24 home runs to pace his team.
• Adames is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .333 with three doubles, two walks and two RBI.

Brewers Team Props

Learn more about this Brewers vs. Diamondbacks matchup on Fox Sports.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

• In three games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Diamondbacks have a record of 1-2.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Diamondbacks and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
• The Diamondbacks have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Diamondbacks Player Insights

• Corbin Carroll leads the Diamondbacks with a team-leading batting average of .287.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Carroll ranks 46th in homers and 70th in RBI.
• Christian Walker has hit 33 home runs with 103 runs batted in, leading the team in both categories.
• Walker is 16th in homers and 12th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Ketel Marte is batting .276 with 26 doubles, nine triples, 25 home runs and 71 walks.
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is hitting .263 with 35 doubles, two triples, 24 home runs and 33 walks.

Diamondbacks Team Props