Braves vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 25

Updated Jul. 25, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Charlie Morton gets the nod for the Atlanta Braves on Tuesday at Fenway Park against Justin Turner and the Boston Red Sox. First pitch is at 7:10 PM ET in this first game of a two-game series. Bookmakers list the Braves as -144 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Red Sox +122 moneyline odds to win. Atlanta is favored on the run line (-1.5). The over/under for the contest is set at 10.5 runs.

The Atlanta Braves will give the start to Morton (10-7, 3.36 ERA), who is looking for win No. 11 on the season, and the Red Sox will counter with John Schreiber (1-0, 2.12 ERA).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Braves-Red Sox game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Braves vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

When: Tuesday, July 25, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
How to Watch on TV: NESN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Braves	-144	+122	10.5	-108	-112	-1.5	+110	-132

Braves vs. Red Sox Prediction

Score Prediction: Braves 6, Red Sox 5
Total Prediction: Under 10.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Braves 51%, Red Sox 49%

Braves vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

The Braves have entered the game as favorites 86 times this season and won 56, or 65.1%, of those games.
Atlanta has a record of 45-18 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -144 on the moneyline.
The Braves have a 59% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Red Sox have been chosen as underdogs in 53 games this year and have walked away with the win 27 times (50.9%) in those games.
Boston has a mark of 16-8 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +122 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 45% chance of walking away with the win.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

The Braves were favored on the moneyline in nine of their last 10 games, and they went 4-5 in those matchups.
In their last 10 matchups, the Braves and their opponents combined to go over the total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Braves have a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	5.5
HR	19
ERA	5.73
K/9	9

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Braves Player Insights

Ronald Acuna Jr. is the Braves best hitter so far this season, hitting at a team-leading .332 rate along with 23 homers and 58 RBI.
Acuna's home runs place him 12th in the majors, and he is 31st in RBI.
Acuna has collected a hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .286 with a double and a walk.
Matt Olson has hit 32 home runs with 80 runs batted in. Both pace his team.
Among all MLB batters, Olson ranks second in homers and first in RBI.
Ozzie Albies is hitting .257 with 17 doubles, three triples, 23 home runs and 31 walks.
Austin Riley is hitting .272 with 18 doubles, a triple, 22 home runs and 34 walks.

Braves Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Marcell Ozuna	0.5 (-244)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+390)	0.5 (+140)
Ozzie Albies	1.5 (+160)	1.5 (-110)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+130)
Orlando Arcia	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+210)
Austin Riley	1.5 (+190)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+350)	0.5 (+115)
Ronald Acuña Jr.	1.5 (+130)	1.5 (-135)	0.5 (+350)	0.5 (+125)

Learn more about this Braves vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

Over the past 10 games, the Red Sox have been underdogs just once and won that contest.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Red Sox and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
Over their last 10 games, the Red Sox are 6-4-0 against the spread.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5.7
HR	19
ERA	4.14
K/9	10.8

Red Sox Player Insights

Turner has 23 doubles, 16 home runs and 36 walks while batting .286.
Among all batters in the big leagues, Turner's home run total is 46th and his RBI tally ranks 15th.
Rafael Devers has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 24 home runs and 74 RBI.
Among all major league hitters, Devers is eighth in homers and sixth in RBI.
Masataka Yoshida leads the Red Sox's lineup with a .315 batting average.
Alex Verdugo is batting .274 with 27 doubles, four triples, seven home runs and 35 walks.

Red Sox Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Adam Duvall	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+150)
Jarren Duran	1.5 (+185)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+200)
Justin Turner	1.5 (+180)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+140)
Rafael Devers	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+370)	0.5 (+135)
Alex Verdugo	0.5 (-244)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+185)

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